Who Should I Draft?
Adalberto Mondesi or Ketel Marte (2020)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Ketel Marte 2B,SS,OF - ARI  | Adalberto Mondesi SS - KC  | |
Expert |
56% Recommended by 25 of 45 experts |
44% Recommended by 20 of 45 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 31 | # 30 |
| Best Rank | # 20 | # 7 |
| Worst Rank | # 79 | # 118 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 40 | # 44 |
| Best Rank | # 34 | # 36 |
| Worst Rank | # 44 | # 92 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 31 | 26 |
| Home Runs | 9 | 7 |
| RBI | 29 | 25 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 18 |
| Batting Average | .302 | .256 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 37 | # 40 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 29 | # 34 |
| Alan Harrison The Fantasy Fix | # 34 | # 35 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 25 | # 35 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 26 | # 32 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 38 | # 46 |
| Chet Gresham The Fake Baseball | # 30 | # 31 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 30 | # 41 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 29 | # 44 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 26 | # 33 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 26 | # 51 |
| Andrea LaMont Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports | # 36 | # 118 |
| Mark Ross Athlon Sports | # 30 | # 32 |
| Matt Brandon Matt Brandon | # 20 | # 30 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 27 | # 34 |
| Tyler Thompson Fantasy Six Pack | # 28 | # 39 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 22 | # 27 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 33 | # 40 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 22 | # 36 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 36 | # 50 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 25 | # 26 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 54 | # 75 |
| George Kurtz FantasyData | # 33 | # 79 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 28 | # 31 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 23 | # 45 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 46 | # 7 |
| Staff Rankings FullTime Fantasy | # 38 | # 12 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 29 | # 14 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 32 | # 14 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 65 | # 15 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 33 | # 19 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 30 | # 20 |
| Bill Dubiel RotoBaller | # 38 | # 21 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 42 | # 21 |
| Jason Johnson Understanding Fantasy Baseball | # 32 | # 23 |
| Sean Zerillo The Action Network | # 29 | # 23 |
| Bobby Sylvester FantasyPros | # 28 | # 24 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 41 | # 24 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 39 | # 25 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 30 | # 26 |
| Chris Mitchell FantasyData | # 79 | # 26 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 34 | # 26 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 30 | # 29 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 39 | # 31 |
| Tim Young Brewer Rat | # 75 | # 73 |
| Ketel Marte 2B,SS,OF - ARI | Adalberto Mondesi SS - KC | |
| 2019 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 569 | 416 |
| Runs | 97 | 58 |
| Hits | 187 | 110 |
| Singles | 110 | 71 |
| Doubles | 36 | 20 |
| Triples | 9 | 10 |
| Home Runs | 32 | 9 |
| RBI | 92 | 62 |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | 43 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 7 |
| Walks | 53 | 19 |
| Strikeouts | 86 | 132 |
| Batting Average | .329 | .264 |
| On Base Pct | .389 | .293 |
| Slugging Pct | .592 | .426 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .981 | .718 |
| Ketel Marte 2B,SS,OF - ARI | Adalberto Mondesi SS - KC | |
| 2020 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 209 | 199 |
| Runs | 31 | 26 |
| Hits | 63 | 51 |
| Singles | 38 | 31 |
| Doubles | 13 | 10 |
| Triples | 3 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 9 | 7 |
| RBI | 29 | 25 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 18 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 4 |
| Walks | 20 | 10 |
| Strikeouts | 33 | 60 |
| Batting Average | .302 | .256 |
| On Base Pct | .364 | .292 |
| Slugging Pct | .516 | .433 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .880 | .725 |
| Ketel Marte 2B,SS,OF - ARI | Adalberto Mondesi SS - KC | |
| News | ||
| Royals manager Mike Matheny says Adalberto Mondesi (shoulder) "looks good" in the workout videos he has seen of him. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sat, Jun 27th | ||
| Adalberto Mondesi told reporters that he "feels great" and is on track to play Opening Day for the Royals. Blaine Blontz Thu, Feb 20th | ||
| Notes | ||
| With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value. Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros | Bold prediction time: Mondesi won't be a thing in 2021. Mondesi showed last year that he wasn't worth grabbing in the first three to four rounds of your draft, yet here we are again, with Mondesi going off the board 40th overall per FantasyPros' ADP. He's not a complete zero at power, but you're drafting him for speed only, essentially. If you look at his xwOBA (6th percentile), xSLG (16th percentile), and xBA (14th percentile) and pair that with his 29.8 K% and 4.3 BB% (both bottom 6 percent of baseball), what's to like? Oh, that's not to mention that he's recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. Unless you're in a big tournament-style league where you need to look for the splash play, avoid Mondesi this year and find your steals elsewhere where you don't have to make quite the investment. Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros | |
| Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Mondesi had a ridiculous 43 steals last year but he did it in just 416 at-bats. If he can stay on the field for a full season, 60 is not only a possibility, but likely. Add in 15 homers and we are talking about a potential first round value, albeit one with great risk. Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | |
| There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve. Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | ||
| In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball. Chris Mitchell - FantasyData | ||
| Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | ||
