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Who Should I Draft?

Adalberto Mondesi or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
30 of 51 experts
41%
Recommended by
21 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 34
Best Rank# 11# 12
Worst Rank# 138# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 29# 51
Best Rank# 24# 40
Worst Rank# 65# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs7684
Home Runs1727
RBI6495
Stolen Bases493
Batting Average.254.288
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 65
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 32
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 50
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 33
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 33
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 37
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 32
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 31
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 42
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 26# 41
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 28# 42
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 52# 59
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 35
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 33# 35
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 25# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 25# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 31# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 32
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 33# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 23
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 38# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 41# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 54# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 55# 31
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 62# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 72# 28
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 95# 37
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 107# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 138# 49
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats219221
   
Runs3334
   
Hits5658
   
Singles3634
   
Doubles1113
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs69
   
RBI2233
   
Stolen Bases242
   
Caught Stealing80
   
Walks1120
   
Strikeouts7038
   
Batting Average.256.262
   
On Base Pct.294.329
   
Slugging Pct.416.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.710.791
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats526554
   
Runs7684
   
Hits133158
   
Singles8395
   
Doubles2532
   
Triples83
   
Home Runs1727
   
RBI6495
   
Stolen Bases493
   
Caught Stealing121
   
Walks2956
   
Strikeouts162101
   
Batting Average.254.288
   
On Base Pct.293.354
   
Slugging Pct.428.502
   
On-base Plus Slugging.721.856
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Adalberto Mondesi
3B,DH,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-4 with a walk, two doubles and a RBI during Friday's 11-6 win over the Twins.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Oct 2nd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Saturday's win over the Orioles after rolling his ankle but is feeling fine, Mike Wilner of the Toronto Star reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-5 with a RBI and a stolen base during Saturday's 8-1 win over the Mariners.
Andy Zimmerman
Sun, Sep 19th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-4 with a double and drove in a run on Thursday as the Blue Jays lost to the Yankees by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Oct 1st
 Adalberto Mondesi (rest) is absent from Thursday's lineup for the Royals' matchup with Cleveland.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Sep 2nd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double, and scored a run on Wednesday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rays by a 7-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-5 with a home run, two runs scored and a stolen base during Wednesday's extra-inning loss to Cleveland.
Andy Zimmerman
Thu, Sep 2nd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's 7-3 loss to Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
 Adalberto Mondesi has been reinstated from the IL, and will start at designated hitter for the Royals on Wednesday.
Dan Harris
Wed, Sep 1st
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
Notes 
 Mondesi will begin the year on the 10-day IL with a strained oblique. When healthy, however, there's no reason to doubt his performance. Even in a shortened year, it was a tale of two seasons for Mondesi. In 35 games in July and August, he batted just .186 with 11 runs, two RBI, no home runs, and eight steals. In his final 24 games, he batted .356 with six home runs, 22 runs scored, 20 RBI, and 16 steals. In the end, Mondesi delivered exactly the type of season that fantasy managers have come to expect, and his 24 steals were eight more than the next highest total. Mondesi won't help in batting average and offers minimal power, but he's an unmatched source of steals. And given that much of his lackluster first month can probably be written off to offseason shoulder surgery, fantasy managers should be able to expect closer to the second-half version of Mondesi rather than the first this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Overall the final three weeks of the 2020 season, Mondesi was the hottest hitter in baseball. After failing to live up to his preseason expectations for most of the year, Mondesi hit .376 with 16 (!!) stolen bases over his final 93 plate appearances. It would be easy to argue that he won fantasy leagues down the stretch if it wasn't for such a brutal showing at the plate leading up to it. Still, this is the type of monstrous stolen base upside that'll keep us invested entering 2021. It goes without saying that Mondesi's value increases in roto leagues. He should be viewed as a wildly volatile player to draft.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros