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Who Should I Draft?

Alex Bregman or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
36 of 52 experts
31%
Recommended by
16 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 14
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 37# 26
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 12# 19
Best Rank# 10# 14
Worst Rank# 16# 34
   
Projections 
   
Runs3934
Home Runs1210
RBI3828
Stolen Bases28
Batting Average.293.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 16
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 10# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 19
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 15# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 17
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 15
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 14
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 11# 16
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 11# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 17
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 10# 16
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 24
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 15# 20
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 10# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 13# 18
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 11# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 11
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 15# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 15
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 16# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 15
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 37# 21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats554334
   
Runs12261
   
Hits164106
   
Singles8465
   
Doubles3713
   
Triples26
   
Home Runs4122
   
RBI11253
   
Stolen Bases516
   
Caught Stealing16
   
Walks11930
   
Strikeouts83110
   
Batting Average.296.317
   
On Base Pct.423.379
   
Slugging Pct.592.590
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.015.969
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats198203
   
Runs3934
   
Hits5857
   
Singles3135
   
Doubles149
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs1210
   
RBI3828
   
Stolen Bases28
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks3519
   
Strikeouts3162
   
Batting Average.293.281
   
On Base Pct.398.342
   
Slugging Pct.549.506
   
On-base Plus Slugging.947.848
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 Alex Bregman went 2-for-4 with an RBI double and a run scored in the Astros 9-7 loss to the A's in Game 3 of the ALDS.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
 Alex Bregman went 2-for-4 with a home run, two runs scored, and a walk in the Astros 10-5 win over the A's in Game 1 of the ALDS on Monday.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Oct 5th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
 Alex Bregman went 3-for-5 with a homer, a triple, a double, three RBI, and two runs scored in the Astros' 12-4 win over the Rangers on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 25th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
 Alex Bregman went hitless in four at-bats as the Astros fell to the Mariners on Monday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
 Alex Bregman went 2-for-3 with a walk and two RBI as the Astros beat the Rangers 4-1 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 16th
Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Notes 
 A really good slugger who appears to be rated higher because of his plus defense even though it isn't a category in leagues. Lack of stolen bases knocks him down a peg for me.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Bregman's multi-position eligibility makes him an attractive target in the second round, and he is a first-round pick in points leagues. You shouldn't expect 41 homers again from him, as his home ballpark aided him in reaching those numbers with his launch angle. Ten homers is achievable for Bregman, and he offers all-around production that makes him worthy of a selection here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Advanced analytics say last season's power was a mirage. On top of that, the ball may be dejuiced, he won't be cheating anymore, and will likely lead the league in HBPs. Going to pass at current ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
.410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 SBs have decreased 17-10-5 over last 3 seasons
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros