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Who Should I Draft?

Alex Bregman or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
30 of 45 experts
33%
Recommended by
15 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 15
Best Rank# 7# 8
Worst Rank# 20# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 13# 19
Best Rank# 10# 14
Worst Rank# 17# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs3732
Home Runs1211
RBI3627
Stolen Bases29
Batting Average.298.286
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 21
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 14
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 11# 16
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 11# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 24
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 13# 14
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 13# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 24
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 17
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 27
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 15# 20
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 10# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 11# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 11
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 14# 11
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats554334
   
Runs12261
   
Hits164106
   
Singles8465
   
Doubles3713
   
Triples26
   
Home Runs4122
   
RBI11253
   
Stolen Bases516
   
Caught Stealing16
   
Walks11930
   
Strikeouts83110
   
Batting Average.296.317
   
On Base Pct.423.379
   
Slugging Pct.592.590
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.015.969
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats197204
   
Runs3732
   
Hits5958
   
Singles3136
   
Doubles149
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs1211
   
RBI3627
   
Stolen Bases29
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks3519
   
Strikeouts3162
   
Batting Average.298.286
   
On Base Pct.404.346
   
Slugging Pct.554.513
   
On-base Plus Slugging.958.859
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 Alex Bregman parted ways with his agent Brodie Scoffield of Klutch Sports. He is in the process of looking for a new agent.
Brad Camara
Wed, May 20th
Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
 Alex Bregman went 0-for-2 with a walk as the Astros beat the Tigers 2-1 on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Mar 9th
Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
 Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a single as the Astros fell to the Cardinals 6-3 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 3rd
Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
  Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
Notes 
 Bregman's multi-position eligibility makes him an attractive target in the second round, and he is a first-round pick in points leagues. You shouldn't expect 41 homers again from him, as his home ballpark aided him in reaching those numbers with his launch angle. Ten homers is achievable for Bregman, and he offers all-around production that makes him worthy of a selection here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Thanks to his 122 runs and 41 homers, Bregman outperformed Story, Turner and Lindor last year so you might consider him at #6 overall once Bellinger is gone but his lack of steals makes his ceiling a bit lower than each of those other first rounders.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Advanced analytics say last season's power was a mirage. On top of that, the ball may be dejuiced, he won't be cheating anymore, and will likely lead the league in HBPs. Going to pass at current ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData