Who Should I Draft?

Alex Bregman or Javier Baez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
42 of 56 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 18
Best Rank# 4# 6
Worst Rank# 22# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 13# 18
Best Rank# 10# 16
Worst Rank# 15# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs9987
Home Runs2730
RBI9496
Stolen Bases1117
Batting Average.287.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 9# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 12# 16
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 6# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 20
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 7# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 12# 19
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 7# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 10# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 16# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 10# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 19# 33
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 13# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 20# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 10# 15
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 13# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 13# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 20
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 10# 11
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 5# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 4# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 7# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 15# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 13
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 17# 7
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 18# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 16
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 19# 10
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 20# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 21# 15
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 9
   
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats594606
   
Runs105101
   
Hits170176
   
Singles8793
   
Doubles5140
   
Triples19
   
Home Runs3134
   
RBI103111
   
Stolen Bases1021
   
Caught Stealing49
   
Walks9629
   
Strikeouts85167
   
Batting Average.286.290
   
On Base Pct.394.326
   
Slugging Pct.532.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.926.881
   
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats572582
   
Runs9987
   
Hits164161
   
Singles9293
   
Doubles4233
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs2730
   
RBI9496
   
Stolen Bases1117
   
Caught Stealing46
   
Walks7733
   
Strikeouts88159
   
Batting Average.287.276
   
On Base Pct.372.315
   
Slugging Pct.514.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.885.822
   
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Alex Bregman went 3-for-4 with a home run, double, single, one RBI, and three runs scored on Tuesday against the Pirates.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 26th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer in the Cubs' 5-3 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with two walks, a home run, one RBI, and one run scored on Thursday against the Yankees.
Kamran Hoda
Fri, Jun 21st
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a triple, two RBI, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 7-4 win over the Mets on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 21st
 Alex Bregman went 1-for-4 with a home run, two RBI, and one run scored on Tuesday against the Reds.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 19th
Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with a single, a steal, and a run scored in the Cubs' 7-3 win over the White Sox on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 20th
 Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a walk, home run, three RBI, and two runs scored against Toronto on Friday.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
 Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a single, two walks, and one run scored on Tuesday against the Brewers.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 12th
Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 Bregman had 83 extra-base hits last season to go with 105 runs and 103 RBIs despite being just 24 years old. Chances are high that his fantasy value continues to trend north. With that said, he is currently recovering from elbow surgery so be sure to keep an eye on his progress before picking him up in the 1st round this spring.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 With great plate discipline and a great supporting cast, Bregman is a very safe, high-floor selection on draft day. He's an excellent bet to produce a .280 average, 25-30 HRs, and around 10 stolen bases, with big run and RBI totals thanks to the Astros' stacked lineup.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Bregman's superstar ascension featured a stellar .286/.394/.532 slash line, 32 homers, and more walks (96) than strikeouts (85). He finished among the top five in contact, outside-swing, and swinging-strike rates, so the elite plate approach could feasibly net a .300 average in 2019. Yet a .463 xSLG suggests he hit his power ceiling, which is concerning considering the drop in steals (10). Drafters now must also monitor his progress from offseason arthroscopic surgery on his elbow, making Bregman a dicey proposition in the first round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 End of Tier 2
Michael Florio - Fantrax