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Who Should I Draft?

Alex Bregman or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 25# 34
Best Rank# 13# 12
Worst Rank# 46# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 34# 51
Best Rank# 27# 40
Worst Rank# 45# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs9684
Home Runs2927
RBI9595
Stolen Bases53
Batting Average.281.288
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 40
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 37# 65
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 22# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 32
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 27# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 30# 33
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 44
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 19# 33
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 13# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 37
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 21# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 44
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 31
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 24# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 26# 42
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 20# 41
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 25# 42
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 25# 59
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 18# 28
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 26# 35
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 32
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 16# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 23
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 25# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 32# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 37# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 39# 32
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 43# 18
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 35
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 45# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 46# 27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats153221
   
Runs1934
   
Hits3758
   
Singles1834
   
Doubles1213
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs69
   
RBI2233
   
Stolen Bases02
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2420
   
Strikeouts2638
   
Batting Average.242.262
   
On Base Pct.350.329
   
Slugging Pct.451.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.801.791
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats538554
   
Runs9684
   
Hits149158
   
Singles8095
   
Doubles3632
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2927
   
RBI9595
   
Stolen Bases53
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks9156
   
Strikeouts86101
   
Batting Average.281.288
   
On Base Pct.386.354
   
Slugging Pct.517.502
   
On-base Plus Slugging.903.856
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 2-for-3 with a single and two-run homer against the Rangers on Monday evening. He also walked and struck out in the effort. Houston ultimately defeated Texas by a score of 15-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
 Astros third baseman Alex Bregman hit a pinch-hit solo homer against the Mariners on Wednesday afternoon. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 8-5.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 8th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-8 with a solo home run and three runs scored across both games of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
 Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 3-for-5 with a single, double and two-run homer against the Mariners on Tuesday. He finished the day with three RBI as Houston ultimately defeated Seattle by a score of 5-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 8th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Thursday's 6-4 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 10th
 Astros third baseman Alex Bregman finished 1-for-4 with a single and RBI against the Padres on Sunday afternoon. Houston ultimately fell to San Diego by a score of 4-3.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 5th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's 8-0 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 7th
 Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a single and walk against the Mariners on Tuesday evening. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 4-0.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 1st
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 at the plate with a pair of runs in Sunday's 8-0 win over Oakland.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 6th
Notes 
 2020 was just a bad season for Bregman, plain and simple. He missed time with a hamstring injury, and generally regressed in every major statistical category. Considering that Bregman will be just 27 years old on Opening Day and had batted .291 with 72 home runs combined over the previous two seasons, fantasy managers can probably just throw out most of what they saw from him in 2020. He'll continue to be an upper echelon option at third base and considering his strong walk and strikeout rates, an even better one in points leagues. He's been battling a hamstring issue for most of camp, but as of now, he doesn't look like he'll miss much, if any, time, so draft him accordingly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 60 game season and people forget how good Bregman is. Such an easy pick at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros