Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rendon or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Anthony Rendon
3B - WSH
Anthony Rendon
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
55 of 59 experts
7%
Recommended by
4 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 49
Best Rank# 19# 12
Worst Rank# 56# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 65
Best Rank# 39# 58
Worst Rank# 45# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8797
Home Runs2428
RBI9376
Stolen Bases53
Batting Average.294.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 22# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 36
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 41
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 27# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 31# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 56# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 21# 36
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 65
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 28# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 42# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 45# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 30# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 26# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 31# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 39# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 66
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 19# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 37
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 28# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 25# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 27# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 26# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 37# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 29# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 29# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 28# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 42
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 26# 55
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 35# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 32# 64
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 31# 58
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 38
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 27# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 70
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 38
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 26# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 33# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 12
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 52# 47
   
  Anthony Rendon
3B - WSH
Anthony Rendon
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats529564
   
Runs88111
   
Hits163145
   
Singles9367
   
Doubles4442
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs2436
   
RBI9281
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks55102
   
Strikeouts82158
   
Batting Average.308.257
   
On Base Pct.374.374
   
Slugging Pct.535.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.909.897
   
  Anthony Rendon
3B - WSH
Anthony Rendon
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats544529
   
Runs8797
   
Hits160135
   
Singles9571
   
Doubles4035
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2428
   
RBI9376
   
Stolen Bases53
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6595
   
Strikeouts90140
   
Batting Average.294.256
   
On Base Pct.370.369
   
Slugging Pct.506.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.876.855
   
  Anthony Rendon
3B - WSH
Anthony Rendon
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 The Washington Nationals have reportedly offered Anthony Rendon a seven-year contract worth between $210 million and $215 million.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 30th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run in Sunday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 29th
 Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon went 0-for-3 with three walks and a stolen base in Saturday's win over the Marlins. The steal was his fourth of the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 28th
 Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Monday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. The homer was his 34th of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 17th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-2 with a go-ahead solo home run in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
 Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon went 2-for-3 with a solo home run, a double, three RBI, two runs scored, and two walks in Thursday's win over the Twins. The homer was his 33rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 13th
Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
 Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon went 0-for-4 with a walk and a run scored in Wednesday's win over the Twins.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Every single season, fantasy owners draft Rendon in the fourth or fifth round and every single year he outproduces that draft value. 2018 was no different, as he hit .308 with 24 homers, 92 RBIs and 88 runs scored in just 136 games. Don't make the mistake of letting him slip by you in the fourth again this season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Rendon was the only third baseman to hit over .300 last season, and one of four third baseman to accomplish that feat in 2017. He's as good a bet for batting average as it gets at the position, and is also fully capable of delivering 25 home runs with good run and RBI totals. His stolen base totals have evaporated over the last couple years, but that shouldn't prevent him from again being a top-40 overall hitter in standard roto and categories leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Diminishing speed and non-elite power make Rendon boring, but he's still a tremendous hitter who has batted above .300 and slugged over .500 in each of the last two seasons. After missing time with a bruised toe earlier in 2018, he posted a .391 wOBA (a mark matched by Jose Ramirez and Nolan Arenado all season) since the start of June. Stealing twice in three tries is a major bummer, but don't underestimate the worth of a .300, 25-homer hitter who could offer 90-100 runs and RBI apiece in the heart of Washington's lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros