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Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rizzo or Aaron Judge (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
24 of 46 experts
48%
Recommended by
22 of 46 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 32
Best Rank# 16# 20
Worst Rank# 116# 62
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 58
Best Rank# 42# 39
Worst Rank# 66# 66
   
Projections 
   
Runs3435
Home Runs1310
RBI3035
Stolen Bases22
Batting Average.275.288
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 50# 62
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 18# 31
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 19# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 35
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 19# 33
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 31# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 60
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 51# 52
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 35
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 29# 42
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 17# 34
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 20
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 40# 27
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 56# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 55# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 29
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 35# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 31
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 33
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 66# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 59# 34
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 35
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 41
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 67# 42
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 76# 43
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 89# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 44
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 116# 45
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 49
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats378512
   
Runs7589
   
Hits103150
   
Singles5791
   
Doubles1829
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs2727
   
RBI5594
   
Stolen Bases35
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6471
   
Strikeouts14186
   
Batting Average.273.293
   
On Base Pct.381.405
   
Slugging Pct.540.520
   
On-base Plus Slugging.921.924
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats172200
   
Runs3435
   
Hits4757
   
Singles2635
   
Doubles811
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1310
   
RBI3035
   
Stolen Bases22
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks3227
   
Strikeouts6534
   
Batting Average.275.288
   
On Base Pct.388.373
   
Slugging Pct.533.503
   
On-base Plus Slugging.921.876
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
News 
 Aaron Judge (neck) took batting practice on Tuesday but is being held out of the Yankees' intrasquad game.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 14th
Anthony Rizzo underwent tests on his lower back Tuesday and is day-to-day.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jul 14th
 Aaron Judge (neck) could return for Tuesday's intrasquad matchup, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Mon, Jul 13th
Anthony Rizzo (back) took live batting practice on Sunday.
Brad Camara
Sun, Jul 12th
 Aaron Judge was scratched from Saturday’s intrasquad game due to a stiff neck. The injury isn’t considered a “big deal.”
Brad Camara
Sat, Jul 11th
Anthony Rizzo (back) is participating in infield drills at Cubs summer camp on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 11th
 Aaron Judge (rib) said "I'm game ready." "Like I told you guys in Spring Training, I was going to be ready for Opening Day."
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 6th
Anthony Rizzo (back) missed Thursday’s intrasquad game due to lower back tightness.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 10th
 Aaron Judge is starting in right field for the Bomber squad in Monday night's intrasquad game.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Mon, Jul 6th
Anthony Rizzo (back) was once again held out of workouts on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 8th
Notes 
 Staying healthy is a skill, and it's one that Aaron Judge hasn't possessed over the past couple of seasons. Could his size contribute to that? He's missed significant portions of the past two seasons, and he was dealing with an injury that caused his stock to drop during draft season. There's no denying the power and overall contributions that he brings, but he, like teammate Giancarlo Stanton, gives owners pause about taking them thanks to durability concerns. The tried and true rule is to not take injured players in the draft as there is enough risk baked into players already. Pass on Judge unless he has a clean bill of health.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
It's like the fantasy community finally caught on to Rizzo. For years, he's gone in the first few rounds of drafts, but there was really no justification for it. Even now, going 43rd overall is early for Rizzo, who fails to stand out in any real way. He's a poor man's Freddie Freeman, but, like, really poor. The power production has dipped, too, and that's in an age where you need your first baseman to hit home runs. If you want to grab him as a safe play at a shallow position, go for it, but you're passing up on better talent to do so.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Judge has a stress fracture in his rib, which showed "slight improvement" based on a CT scan in mid-April. But he is also dealing with a collapsed lung, and there is still no timetable for when he may be ready for baseball activity. Even with the postponement of the season, there's no guarantee that Judge will be ready to play at any point this season. Draft him with a heavy dose of pessimism and you should be fine.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
We've never seen Rizzo hit 35 homers or bat .300 but his production has been so steady that fantasy owners can be certain they'll get 25 homers with 80+ runs, 90+ RBIs and a batting average north of .275. That makes him a worthwhile 4th or 5th round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Judge again missed 50+ games in 2019. While he is healthy, we are still looking at a 40+ homer pace with tons of runs and a batting average that won't kill fantasy owners, but with a second round ADP, the risk may be a little bit too much.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
About as safe as you can get. Great pick if you take risks elsewhere.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Has played over 112 games once in four year. Very good player, but not taking on that injury risk in the second or third round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Consistent but lacking upside at this stage of his career. Receives a boost in OBP leagues
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Ranked in the top 1% in baseball in barrel%, hard hit rate, and exit velocity in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
better in points
Frank Stampfl - RotoExperts