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Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rizzo or Austin Meadows (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
13 of 25 experts
48%
Recommended by
12 of 25 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 56
Best Rank# 38# 40
Worst Rank# 97# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 91# 99
Best Rank# 87# 75
Worst Rank# 108# 105
   
Projections 
   
Runs7487
Home Runs2327
RBI7187
Stolen Bases116
Batting Average.259.267
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 56# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 57# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 52# 74
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 56# 59
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 56
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 58# 63
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 58# 66
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 61# 66
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 78
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 65
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 44# 55
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 38# 52
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 40
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 97# 47
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 49# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 73# 48
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 49
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 76# 49
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 58# 52
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 57# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 61# 54
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 57# 56
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 58# 57
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 61
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats132203
   
Runs1926
   
Hits2745
   
Singles1428
   
Doubles86
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs411
   
RBI1324
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks1728
   
Strikeouts5038
   
Batting Average.205.222
   
On Base Pct.296.342
   
Slugging Pct.371.414
   
On-base Plus Slugging.667.755
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats496553
   
Runs7487
   
Hits126146
   
Singles7289
   
Doubles2727
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs2327
   
RBI7187
   
Stolen Bases116
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks5075
   
Strikeouts13498
   
Batting Average.259.267
   
On Base Pct.323.351
   
Slugging Pct.470.469
   
On-base Plus Slugging.792.820
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Austin Meadows
LF,RF - TB
Austin Meadows
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
News 
 Rays manager Kevin Cash says OF Austin Meadows cut weight over the offseason.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 25th
 
Notes 
 Meadows missed time with an oblique injury last year, and, more importantly, because of complications from COVID-19. Meadows's strikeout rate ballooned to 32.9% and his average fell to just .205 in 2020. Even if you expected regression from his 2019 season, he's just much better than a player who put up the 87 wRC+ and .292 wOBA we saw last year. Though it's absolutely fair to write off Meadows's season entirely, it's a bit worrisome that he struggled so much against lefties (.143 batting average), as that could potentially open him up to a platoon situation if he struggles against them out of the gate. The best course of action is to discount him from his numbers in 2019 for certain, but still buy him as a strong third outfielder, which should bake in the risk of any continued struggles against his upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Rizzo's average dropped to just .222 last year and his counting stats waned, though the latter failing was much more due to the lack of production from the rest of the Cubs lineup. His walk and strikeout rates, however, stayed mostly in line, and his BABIP was an artificially low .218 (career mark of .289), which is partly why there was such a gap between his xBA of .266 and his actual batting average. With that said, Rizzo didn't hit the ball nearly as hard last year, as he saw career worsts in average exit velocity and hard hit rate. He likely won't ever be the player he was at his peak, but there's still plenty in his bat that can help fantasy managers, including the handful of steals he will throw in each year. He's a starting-caliber first baseman still, without question, and he'll go at a discount because of last year's numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 275 - 30 - 7
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
275 - 30 - 5
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports