Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rizzo or Daniel Murphy (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 42
Best Rank# 17# 21
Worst Rank# 34# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 34# 67
Best Rank# 29# 59
Worst Rank# 37# 100
   
Projections 
   
Runs8881
Home Runs2922
RBI10083
Stolen Bases74
Batting Average.281.311
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 21# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 34
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 42
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 23# 37
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 24# 56
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 92
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 50
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 45
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 22# 59
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 68
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 19# 34
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 45
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 27# 48
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 38
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 34# 58
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 23# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 42
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 39
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 42
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 22# 38
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 44
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 22# 35
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 47
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 86
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 23# 45
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 17# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 55
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 23# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 44
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 26# 40
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 62
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 46
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 55
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 50
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 23# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 25# 41
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 19# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 37
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 22# 38
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 37
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 29# 21
   
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats566328
   
Runs7440
   
Hits16098
   
Singles10571
   
Doubles2915
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs2512
   
RBI10142
   
Stolen Bases63
   
Caught Stealing40
   
Walks7020
   
Strikeouts8040
   
Batting Average.283.299
   
On Base Pct.376.336
   
Slugging Pct.470.454
   
On-base Plus Slugging.846.791
   
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats557529
   
Runs8881
   
Hits157165
   
Singles93105
   
Doubles3235
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2922
   
RBI10083
   
Stolen Bases74
   
Caught Stealing41
   
Walks7541
   
Strikeouts8769
   
Batting Average.281.311
   
On Base Pct.367.360
   
Slugging Pct.501.517
   
On-base Plus Slugging.867.876
   
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
News 
 Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in the Cubs' 5-3 loss to the Dodgers on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 15th
Daniel Murphy went 1-for-6 with a double and two RBI in the Rockies' 16-12 loss to the Padres on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Anthony Rizzo went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Rockies on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th
Daniel Murphy went 3-for-4 with a double and two RBI in the Rockies' 10-3 win over the Cubs on Tuesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
 Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-2 with a single and two walks in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with a solo homer in Friday's 5-1 win over the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Anthony Rizzo went 2-for-3 with a solo home run in the Cubs' 7-4 loss to the Cardinals on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI as the Rockies fell to the Cubs 6-3 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Anthony Rizzo went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Astros on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, May 27th
Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with an RBI in the Rockies' 5-1 win over the Blue Jays on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 Rizzo took a major step backwards in the first half last year, but his final line of 25 homers, 101 RBIs and a .283 batting average ended up being about as good as his average season. We were drafting him in the 3rd round last year so don't hesitate to scoop him up for a discount this season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Murphy's overall stat line wasn't all that impressive last year, but once he was healthy in the second half, he returned to hittin .315 with a 25 HR pace. Move that to Coors Field and we may be looking at the NL Batting Champion with plenty of homers, RBI and runs. Be mindful that he rarely plays a full season, but when he is on the field we are looking at a top 30 fantasy asset
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Rizzo's streak of four consecutive 30-HR seasons came to an end in 2018, but he's still working on a streak of four straight 100-RBI seasons, and his batted ball profile suggests he's still the same player he's always been. He's an asset in all five standard rotisserie categories, and has finished as a top-five fantasy first baseman in four of the last five seasons (he was eighth in 2016). With that level of high-end production and consistency, Rizzo belongs in the same breath as Freddie Freeman and Paul Goldschmidt as the top options at an increasingly-scarce position.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Murphy took a long time to return from microfracture knee surgery in 2018, but it was worth the wait for his fantasy owners, as he produced a .299/40/12/42/3 line over 328 at-bats from June on. He's always been a good hitter, but has blossomed into a truly potent fantasy asset over the last three seasons, demonstrating the ability to knock 25 home runs with a batting average well north of .300. And that was before he played his home games at Coors Field, where he owns a .330 lifetime batting average. Murphy may be discounted in drafts on account of his increasing age, but it would not be shocking if he finished as a top-20 overall hitter in his first season in Colorado.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 For the first time since 2014, Rizzo fell short of 30 homers (25) and a .500 slugging percentage (.470). An atrocious April in which he batted .149 with one extra-base hit is entirely to blame. He hit his fewest fly balls (37.3%) since 2012, but the accompanying career bests in contact (85.1%), strikeout (12.0%) and line-drive (24.7%) rate did not show fully in his .283 average. Either he sustains these profile changes and inches closer to batting .300, or he regains enough of his power stroke to leap back to 30 long balls. Or both. Either way, Rizzo, who batted .303/.393/.512 after an atrocious April, is a sturdy foundational piece worth grabbing in the third or fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Murphy's draft stock hasn't soared nearly enough for a career .299/.344/.458 hitter moving to Coors Field. One of baseball's top sluggers in 2016 and 2017, his 2018 returns were contaminated by a brutal return from offseason knee injury. From July 1 onward, removing 15 games from his 91-game season, he batted .317/.355/.493 with 12 homers. Steamer's projected .307 average and 22 homers seem more than reasonable with the Rockies, and he's capable of bringing home another batting title.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros