Who Should I Draft?
Anthony Rizzo or Nick Castellanos (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Nick Castellanos LF,RF - CIN  | Anthony Rizzo 1B - CHC  | |
Expert |
72% Recommended by 18 of 25 experts |
28% Recommended by 7 of 25 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 49 | # 56 |
| Best Rank | # 26 | # 40 |
| Worst Rank | # 65 | # 78 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 85 | # 99 |
| Best Rank | # 67 | # 75 |
| Worst Rank | # 90 | # 105 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 92 | 87 |
| Home Runs | 29 | 27 |
| RBI | 86 | 87 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 6 |
| Batting Average | .269 | .267 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 37 | # 49 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 59 | # 61 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 55 | # 59 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 48 | # 58 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 51 | # 56 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 58 | # 74 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 42 | # 54 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 51 | # 59 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 44 | # 48 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 42 | # 63 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 63 | # 66 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 40 | # 66 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 59 | # 78 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 58 | # 65 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 38 | # 52 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 26 | # 47 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 41 | # 52 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 48 | # 57 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 50 | # 40 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 63 | # 48 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 51 | # 49 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 56 | # 54 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 65 | # 55 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 57 | # 56 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 59 | # 56 |
| Nick Castellanos LF,RF - CIN | Anthony Rizzo 1B - CHC | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 218 | 203 |
| Runs | 37 | 26 |
| Hits | 49 | 45 |
| Singles | 22 | 28 |
| Doubles | 11 | 6 |
| Triples | 2 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 14 | 11 |
| RBI | 34 | 24 |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | 3 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 1 |
| Walks | 19 | 28 |
| Strikeouts | 69 | 38 |
| Batting Average | .225 | .222 |
| On Base Pct | .298 | .342 |
| Slugging Pct | .486 | .414 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .784 | .755 |
| Nick Castellanos LF,RF - CIN | Anthony Rizzo 1B - CHC | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 587 | 553 |
| Runs | 92 | 87 |
| Hits | 157 | 146 |
| Singles | 82 | 89 |
| Doubles | 41 | 27 |
| Triples | 4 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 29 | 27 |
| RBI | 86 | 87 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 6 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 3 |
| Walks | 48 | 75 |
| Strikeouts | 158 | 98 |
| Batting Average | .269 | .267 |
| On Base Pct | .322 | .351 |
| Slugging Pct | .501 | .469 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .823 | .820 |
| Nick Castellanos LF,RF - CIN | Anthony Rizzo 1B - CHC | |
| News | ||
| Reds OF Nick Castellanos is expected to return to the Reds lineup on Friday. Jack Mannis Thu, Mar 4th | ||
| Reds OF Nick Castellanos (finger) remains out of the lineup Thursday against the Royals. Brad Camara Thu, Mar 4th | ||
| Cincinnati Reds outfielder Nick Castellanos was scratched from Tuesday's Cactus League game vs. the Angels with a sore right middle finger. He's been replaced in the lineup by TJ Friedl. Jon Mathisen Tue, Mar 2nd | ||
| Notes | ||
| Castellanos hit for plenty of power last season with the Reds, but it was far from the full breakout season many expected. His strikeout rate jumped to 28.5%, his batting average cratered to a career-low .225, and his wOBA was his worst mark since 2015. But Castellanos was also the victim of some pretty terrible luck, given that he had an expected batting average of .273 and a strong 46.7% hard-hit rate. With a full year in Great American Ballpark, Castellanos should fully live up to the hype he had coming into the 2020 season if he can just have even normal luck. Draft him with confidence as a likely strong four-category contributor. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Rizzo's average dropped to just .222 last year and his counting stats waned, though the latter failing was much more due to the lack of production from the rest of the Cubs lineup. His walk and strikeout rates, however, stayed mostly in line, and his BABIP was an artificially low .218 (career mark of .289), which is partly why there was such a gap between his xBA of .266 and his actual batting average. With that said, Rizzo didn't hit the ball nearly as hard last year, as he saw career worsts in average exit velocity and hard hit rate. He likely won't ever be the player he was at his peak, but there's still plenty in his bat that can help fantasy managers, including the handful of steals he will throw in each year. He's a starting-caliber first baseman still, without question, and he'll go at a discount because of last year's numbers. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| 280 - 35 - 0 Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports | 275 - 30 - 5 Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports | |
| Castellanos posted a career-high ISO in 2020, but it hardly mattered due to a career-worst .257 BABIP. His previous career-low was .294 back in 2013. That number was above .300 in every other season of his career. We saw a glimpse of what he looked like when everything was clicking, and Castellanos appeared to be one of the best hitters in baseball early on in 2020. The expected stats still look great, which makes him someone to invest in come draft day. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
