Who Should I Draft?

Aroldis Chapman or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 25# 26
Best Rank# 14# 7
Worst Rank# 39# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 70# 68
Best Rank# 63# 55
Worst Rank# 81# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts92178
Wins313
Saves340
ERA2.633.32
WHIP1.091.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 30# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 30# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 22# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 21# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 43
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 19# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 22# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 19
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 21# 19
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 11
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 22# 12
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 12
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 23# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 24# 20
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 15
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 25# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 26# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 26# 7
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 27# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 29# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 30# 20
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 30# 28
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 31# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 31# 19
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 33# 13
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 34# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 34# 25
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 39# 16
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played5532
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched51.0191.2
   
Wins319
   
Losses08
   
Saves320
   
Blown Saves20
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed24173
   
Earned Runs1472
   
Home Runs Allowed219
   
Strikeouts93220
   
Walks3046
   
ERA2.453.39
   
WHIP1.051.14
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5927
   
Games Started026
   
Innings Pitched58.2155.9
   
Wins313
   
Losses26
   
Saves340
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed37136
   
Earned Runs1758
   
Home Runs Allowed519
   
Strikeouts92178
   
Walks2740
   
ERA2.633.32
   
WHIP1.091.13
   
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Aroldis Chapman gave up an unearned run on one hit and struck out one to record his 22nd save of the season in Monday's 10-8 win over the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 25th
Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Aroldis Chapman picked up the save after allowing a hit and a walk while striking out two in a scoreless ninth inning Friday night against Houston.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 22nd
Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Aroldis Chapman recorded the final out without allowing a baserunner in Thursday's game against the Astros to earn his 20th save of the season.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 21st
Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
 Aroldis Chapman struck out the side in three batters during the ninth inning to record the save in a 6-3 victory against the Rays on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
 Aroldis Chapman pitched one scoreless inning giving up a hit and striking out one on Saturday as the Yankees beat the White Sox by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Notes 
 Aroldis Chapman was his typical dominant self last season and enters 2019 as the clear closer in the Bronx. This shapes up as arguably the best bullpen in baseball, however, so the Yankees will have no shortage of potential replacements should Chapman struggle or get hurt.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Chapman still delivers strikeouts in spades. Yet he has tossed just 50.1 and 51.1 innings over the last two seasons, capping the edge over pitchers like Brad Hand who worked 72 frames last year. He also struggled mightily with control, issuing 30 walks (5.26 BB/9) in 2018. Although one of baseball's few locked-in closers, there's a slimmer margin of error than the other top-tier arms with Dellin Betances and Adam Ottavino looking over his shoulder. Wait a little longer for a closer like Hand or Felipe Vazquez.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Chapman has been exceptional for nearly a decade now. It may surprise you to learn that he hasn't struck out 100 batters since 2015, though. Edwin Diaz, meanwhile, had 123 last year to go with 25 more saves than Aroldis. Chapman is obviously one of the top closers in baseball still, but doesn't deserve any consideration as a top 50 fantasy pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros