Who Should I Draft?
Aroldis Chapman or Max Fried (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Aroldis Chapman RP - NYY  | Max Fried SP - ATL  | |
Expert |
68% Recommended by 15 of 22 experts |
32% Recommended by 7 of 22 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 24 | # 31 |
| Best Rank | # 13 | # 19 |
| Worst Rank | # 33 | # 95 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 72 | # 66 |
| Best Rank | # 67 | # 55 |
| Worst Rank | # 90 | # 88 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 87 | 163 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Saves | 33 | 0 |
| ERA | 2.93 | 3.83 |
| WHIP | 1.12 | 1.31 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 31 | # 46 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 23 | # 29 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 13 | # 35 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 25 | # 49 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 26 | # 61 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 23 | # 35 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 26 | # 27 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 24 | # 27 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 26 | # 30 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 22 | # 30 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 28 | # 45 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 16 | # 95 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 21 | # 34 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 21 | # 32 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 26 | # 27 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 26 | # 20 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 28 | # 22 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 28 | # 24 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 30 | # 21 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 31 | # 25 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 33 | # 27 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 33 | # 19 |
| Aroldis Chapman RP - NYY | Max Fried SP - ATL | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 13 | 11 |
| Games Started | 0 | 11 |
| Innings Pitched | 12.3 | 56.2 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Saves | 3 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 2 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 6 | 42 |
| Earned Runs | 4 | 14 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 2 | 2 |
| Strikeouts | 22 | 50 |
| Walks | 4 | 19 |
| ERA | 3.09 | 2.25 |
| WHIP | 0.86 | 1.09 |
| Aroldis Chapman RP - NYY | Max Fried SP - ATL | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 58 | 29 |
| Games Started | 0 | 29 |
| Innings Pitched | 57.6 | 166.0 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Saves | 33 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 8 | 0 |
| Holds | 1 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 39 | 160 |
| Earned Runs | 19 | 71 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 6 | 18 |
| Strikeouts | 87 | 163 |
| Walks | 26 | 58 |
| ERA | 2.93 | 3.83 |
| WHIP | 1.12 | 1.31 |
| Aroldis Chapman RP - NYY | Max Fried SP - ATL | |
| News | ||
| The Braves and LHP Max Fried avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $3.5 million contract. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Fri, Jan 15th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Chapman missed time last year because he was diagnosed with COVID-19, but he was largely the same pitcher as always when he was on the mount. He struck out 22 batters in his 11 2/3 innings pitched and allowed just six hits. His velocity may be slightly below what it was at its peak, but it's still elite, and he appears to have plenty left in the tank heading into his age-33 season. He'll again close for one of the best teams in baseball, and although he's never had a 40-save season, he should easily surpass 30 and be one of the top closers drafted in fantasy. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | 9 - 3.50 - 1.27 Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports | |
| In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | ||
