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Who Should I Draft?

Aroldis Chapman or Sonny Gray (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 28
Best Rank# 16# 16
Worst Rank# 61# 120
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 90
Best Rank# 62# 80
Worst Rank# 80# 111
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts85179
Wins311
Saves320
ERA2.893.79
WHIP1.091.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 25
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 21# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 22# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 48
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 43
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 31
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 24# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 25# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 31
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 23# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 24# 28
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 31
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 27# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 19# 49
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 29# 49
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 25# 26
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 21# 27
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 28
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 23# 120
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 27# 32
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 22# 18
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 22# 21
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 23# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 19
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 24# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 25# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 20
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 26# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 22
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 23
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 27# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 30# 25
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 30# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 20
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 36# 16
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 37# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 20
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 61# 28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1311
   
Games Started011
   
Innings Pitched12.356.2
   
Wins15
   
Losses13
   
Saves30
   
Blown Saves20
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed642
   
Earned Runs423
   
Home Runs Allowed24
   
Strikeouts2272
   
Walks426
   
ERA3.093.70
   
WHIP0.861.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5829
   
Games Started029
   
Innings Pitched56.6157.6
   
Wins311
   
Losses28
   
Saves320
   
Blown Saves70
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed38132
   
Earned Runs1866
   
Home Runs Allowed619
   
Strikeouts85179
   
Walks2459
   
ERA2.893.79
   
WHIP1.091.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
News 
 Aroldis Chapman closed out the Red Sox in the ninth inning on Sunday night, pitching a scoreless inning allowing one walk, and striking out a batter.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 27th
Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision Friday against the Nationals, allowing four runs on five hits in four innings. He walked four and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
 Aroldis Chapman recorded his 29th save of the season while allowing one run on one hit in Saturday's 5-3 win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 26th
Sonny Gray (7-8) was saddled with the loss Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs (three earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 18th
 Aroldis Chapman struck out two batters in a perfect ninth inning and earned a save over the Rangers on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 21st
Sonny Gray (7-7) took the loss Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on three hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 12th
 Aroldis Chapman pitched a perfect ninth inning while striking out two to earn a save in the win over the Orioles on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 16th
Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to the Cubs, allowing three runs (two earned) on three hits in five innings. He struck out eight and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
 Aroldis Chapman fired a scoreless ninth inning, allowing one hit while striking out one to earn the save in the win over the Mets on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Sonny Gray (7-6) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cardinals in Game 2 of the doubleheader. He allowed two runs on two hits across five innings. He walked none and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Chapman missed time last year because he was diagnosed with COVID-19, but he was largely the same pitcher as always when he was on the mount. He struck out 22 batters in his 11 2/3 innings pitched and allowed just six hits. His velocity may be slightly below what it was at its peak, but it's still elite, and he appears to have plenty left in the tank heading into his age-33 season. He'll again close for one of the best teams in baseball, and although he's never had a 40-save season, he should easily surpass 30 and be one of the top closers drafted in fantasy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros