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Who Should I Draft?

Aroldis Chapman or Tyler Glasnow (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
21 of 24 experts
13%
Recommended by
3 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 25
Best Rank# 5# 14
Worst Rank# 52# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 73
Best Rank# 43# 67
Worst Rank# 58# 90
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts20087
Wins113
Saves033
ERA3.502.93
WHIP1.181.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 27
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 19# 24
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 13# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 33
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 18# 22
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 28
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 28
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 16
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 30
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 26
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 13# 21
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1113
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched57.012.3
   
Wins51
   
Losses11
   
Saves03
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed436
   
Earned Runs264
   
Home Runs Allowed112
   
Strikeouts9122
   
Walks224
   
ERA4.083.09
   
WHIP1.130.86
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2858
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched151.757.5
   
Wins113
   
Losses72
   
Saves033
   
Blown Saves08
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed12039
   
Earned Runs5919
   
Home Runs Allowed216
   
Strikeouts20087
   
Walks5825
   
ERA3.502.93
   
WHIP1.181.12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
News 
 The Rays and RHP Tyler Glasnow avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $4 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Chapman missed time last year because he was diagnosed with COVID-19, but he was largely the same pitcher as always when he was on the mount. He struck out 22 batters in his 11 2/3 innings pitched and allowed just six hits. His velocity may be slightly below what it was at its peak, but it's still elite, and he appears to have plenty left in the tank heading into his age-33 season. He'll again close for one of the best teams in baseball, and although he's never had a 40-save season, he should easily surpass 30 and be one of the top closers drafted in fantasy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 12 - 3.00 - 1.10
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
16 - 2.50 - 1.10
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 Glasnow is a classic risk-reward fantasy selection where he's being drafted. A prominent strikeout artist, he has completed six full innings in just 9-of-23 regular season starts since joining the Rays. A two-pitch pitcher, Glasnow is literally un-hittable when he's "on." However, when you have just two pitches, batters can more easily guess what's coming. This is what led to the 27-year-old giving up 11 homers in 2020. The strikeouts are nice but it feels like there's too much potential downside when considering his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros