Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Edwin Diaz (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
97%
Recommended by
57 of 59 experts
3%
Recommended by
2 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 13
Best Rank# 3# 5
Worst Rank# 16# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 28# 50
Best Rank# 27# 46
Worst Rank# 30# 53
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216103
Wins143
Saves038
ERA3.152.43
WHIP1.180.97
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 12# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 16
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 11# 14
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 7# 17
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 7# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 21
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 15
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 7# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 14# 22
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 9# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 6# 15
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 3# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 10
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 7# 20
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 16
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 11
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 8# 20
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 15
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 23
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 8# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 9# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 15
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 7# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 6# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 7# 12
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 15
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 6# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 10# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 17
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 11# 17
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 9# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 17
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 9# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 5# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 12# 8
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3173
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched181.173.1
   
Wins210
   
Losses54
   
Saves057
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed11241
   
Earned Runs3816
   
Home Runs Allowed165
   
Strikeouts221124
   
Walks6417
   
ERA1.891.96
   
WHIP0.970.79
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3267
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched182.967.7
   
Wins143
   
Losses83
   
Saves038
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed14545
   
Earned Runs6418
   
Home Runs Allowed196
   
Strikeouts216103
   
Walks7221
   
ERA3.152.43
   
WHIP1.180.97
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Blake Snell allowed one run on two hits and three walks while striking out three through 1 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Red Sox on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 24th
Mets reliever Edwin Diaz allowed two earned runs on two hits and no walks while striking out three over an inning of work against the Phillies on Friday. He suffered his seventh blown save of the season but was able to escape with the win.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 7th
 Blake Snell's arm felt good following Tuesday's two-inning start against the Dodgers, leaving him on track for Monday's turn against the Red Sox, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Edwin Diaz (1-7) allowed two earned runs on two hits without recording an out to blow the save in Tuesday’s 11-10 loss to the Nationals. He took his seventh loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
 Blake Snell did not factor into the decision against the Dodgers on Tuesday, pitching two perfect innings and striking out four.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Mets reliever Edwin Diaz struck out the only batter he faced to close out Monday's win over the Nationals. He did not record a save in the 7-3 win.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Blake Snell (elbow) is scheduled to return on Tuesday versus the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Mets reliever Edwin Diaz struck out all three batters he faced in a scoreless inning during Wednesday's loss to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th
 Blake Snell (elbow) is joining the Rays in California for their upcoming series against the Angels and Dodgers, MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
Edwin Diaz was removed from the Mets' game against the Braves on Saturday night with an apparent injury.
Dan Harris
Sat, Aug 24th
Notes 
 Snell may have posted the single greatest second half of any pitcher in the last 50 years with a 1.17 ERA, .155 BAA and 12.7 K/9. There is a chance he finishes as the #1 fantasy pitcher this season, but both Scherzer and Sale are safer bets because of their sustained reliability
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
The Mets acquired Diaz to serve as their new closer, and he should be one of the first two closers off the board in all fantasy leagues following his dominant 2018 in Seattle.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Snell experienced a massive breakout in 2018, establishing himself as a bonafide fantasy ace. It's fairly obvious that his 1.89 ERA is due for some regression, but the question is how much. He cut his walk rate, but it is still a bit higher than most of the top-tier starters, and his .241 BABIP allowed and 88 percent left-on-base percentage are highly unlikely to happen again. Pitching in the AL East also remain a tough assignment, although at least his home park is pitcher-friendly. Snell may see his ERA and WHIP rise to over 3.00 and 1.15, respectively, but he can still be a legit number one starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Diaz won't record another 57 saves, tied for the second-most ever in a single season. Yet he's the top fantasy closer after cementing a 1.91 ERA with a nasty 124 strikeouts in 73.1 innings. He fixed 2017's walk woes, cutting his walk rate from 11.6 to 6.1%. Those elite numbers are going to cost a bounty on draft day, so investors can't afford much regression if he keeps going around the top 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Snell is going to regress. That's not necessarily a cause for panic, as his ERA could rise a full run and remain a resounding 2.89. His control (9.1 BB%) is lacking for a top-tier ace, but Tampa Bay's southpaw also permitted the lowest contact rate (66.6%) of all qualified starters while sporting the fourth-best swinging-strike rate (15.1%). He could approach 240-250 strikeouts with an innings uptick, so don't flea as long as his price factors in some regression.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
There is a top tier of three or four closers, but among them, Diaz is likely the best. He racked up 124 Ks in 73 innings last year, and while you can't bank on 57 saves again, 40 is well within question for a surprisingly good Mets team this year. His ratios will surely be stellar, but even so, with only 70 innings, they won't help you enough to warrant using a fifth or even earlier pick on him or any other closer.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros