Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Edwin Diaz (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
54 of 56 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 13
Best Rank# 3# 5
Worst Rank# 16# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 28# 50
Best Rank# 27# 46
Worst Rank# 30# 53
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216103
Wins143
Saves038
ERA3.152.43
WHIP1.180.97
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 12# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 16
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 11# 14
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 7# 17
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 7# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 21
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 15
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 7# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 14# 22
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 9# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 6# 15
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 3# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 10
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 7# 20
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 16
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 11
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 8# 20
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 15
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 23
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 9# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 8# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 9# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 15
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 7# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 6# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 7# 12
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 15
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 6# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 10# 22
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 11# 17
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 15
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 9# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 5# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 12# 8
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3173
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched181.173.1
   
Wins210
   
Losses54
   
Saves057
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed11241
   
Earned Runs3816
   
Home Runs Allowed165
   
Strikeouts221124
   
Walks6417
   
ERA1.891.96
   
WHIP0.970.79
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3267
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched182.967.7
   
Wins143
   
Losses83
   
Saves038
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed14545
   
Earned Runs6418
   
Home Runs Allowed196
   
Strikeouts216103
   
Walks7221
   
ERA3.152.43
   
WHIP1.180.97
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Blake Snell walked four, gave up two hits and was charged with six runs while getting one out on 39 pitches as the Rays lost to the Yankees on Wednesday by a 10-2 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
Edwin Diaz threw a perfect ninth inning with two strikeouts to lock down his 16th save against the Cubs on Friday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 21st
 Blake Snell allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits with three strikeouts and four walks across 3 1/3 innings during a no-decision against the Angels on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one run on three hits but managed to convert his 15th save of the season in Saturday's win over the Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
 Blake Snell pitched six innings of one-run ball giving up five hits and walking one while striking out seven batters in Sunday's win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed two earned runs on two hits and one walk while striking out one over one inning to blow the save in Thursday's game against the St. Louis Cardinals. The game was suspended in the ninth inning at 4-4 and is scheduled to be completed on Friday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 14th
 Blake Snell (3-5) took the loss Tuesday versus the Tigers by allowing six runs on seven hits across 4 1/3 innings. He struck out eight and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 5th
Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one hit and no walks while striking out two en route to earning his 14th save of the season in Saturday's win over the Rockies.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
 Blake Snell allowed two runs on six hits and two walks across six innings during Wednesday's extra-inning win over the Blue Jays. He struck out five but did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, May 30th
Edwin Diaz allowed four runs on five hits and a walk over just 1/3 of an inning against the Dodgers on Wednesday night. He was credited with a loss and a blown save.
Dan Harris
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Snell may have posted the single greatest second half of any pitcher in the last 50 years with a 1.17 ERA, .155 BAA and 12.7 K/9. There is a chance he finishes as the #1 fantasy pitcher this season, but both Scherzer and Sale are safer bets because of their sustained reliability
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
The Mets acquired Diaz to serve as their new closer, and he should be one of the first two closers off the board in all fantasy leagues following his dominant 2018 in Seattle.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Snell experienced a massive breakout in 2018, establishing himself as a bonafide fantasy ace. It's fairly obvious that his 1.89 ERA is due for some regression, but the question is how much. He cut his walk rate, but it is still a bit higher than most of the top-tier starters, and his .241 BABIP allowed and 88 percent left-on-base percentage are highly unlikely to happen again. Pitching in the AL East also remain a tough assignment, although at least his home park is pitcher-friendly. Snell may see his ERA and WHIP rise to over 3.00 and 1.15, respectively, but he can still be a legit number one starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Diaz won't record another 57 saves, tied for the second-most ever in a single season. Yet he's the top fantasy closer after cementing a 1.91 ERA with a nasty 124 strikeouts in 73.1 innings. He fixed 2017's walk woes, cutting his walk rate from 11.6 to 6.1%. Those elite numbers are going to cost a bounty on draft day, so investors can't afford much regression if he keeps going around the top 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Snell is going to regress. That's not necessarily a cause for panic, as his ERA could rise a full run and remain a resounding 2.89. His control (9.1 BB%) is lacking for a top-tier ace, but Tampa Bay's southpaw also permitted the lowest contact rate (66.6%) of all qualified starters while sporting the fourth-best swinging-strike rate (15.1%). He could approach 240-250 strikeouts with an innings uptick, so don't flea as long as his price factors in some regression.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
There is a top tier of three or four closers, but among them, Diaz is likely the best. He racked up 124 Ks in 73 innings last year, and while you can't bank on 57 saves again, 40 is well within question for a surprisingly good Mets team this year. His ratios will surely be stellar, but even so, with only 70 innings, they won't help you enough to warrant using a fifth or even earlier pick on him or any other closer.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros