Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 14
Best Rank# 3# 11
Worst Rank# 16# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 28# 49
Best Rank# 27# 47
Worst Rank# 30# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216196
Wins1413
Saves00
ERA3.153.46
WHIP1.181.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 12# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 11# 15
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 7# 15
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 7# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 12# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 7# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 14# 24
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 9# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 6# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 3# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 7# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 8# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 13
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 9# 14
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 8# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 9# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 7# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 6# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 7# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 6# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 10# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 11# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 9# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 5# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 12
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3128
   
Innings Pitched181.1160.1
   
Wins2111
   
Losses56
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed112134
   
Earned Runs3867
   
Home Runs Allowed1623
   
Strikeouts221208
   
Walks6442
   
ERA1.893.76
   
WHIP0.971.10
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3228
   
Innings Pitched182.9166.2
   
Wins1413
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed145144
   
Earned Runs6464
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts216196
   
Walks7245
   
ERA3.153.46
   
WHIP1.181.14
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Blake Snell allowed seven runs on 11 hits with one walk and four strikeouts across 3 1/3 innings while taking a loss against the Twins on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 26th
James Paxton (5-3) earned the win after allowing one run on five hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings Friday night against the Astros.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Blake Snell walked four, gave up two hits and was charged with six runs while getting one out on 39 pitches as the Rays lost to the Yankees on Wednesday by a 10-2 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
James Paxton gave up two runs on eight hits with one walk and struck out seven batters over six innings to pick up a win against the White Sox on Sunday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
 Blake Snell allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits with three strikeouts and four walks across 3 1/3 innings during a no-decision against the Angels on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
 Blake Snell pitched six innings of one-run ball giving up five hits and walking one while striking out seven batters in Sunday's win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Blake Snell (3-5) took the loss Tuesday versus the Tigers by allowing six runs on seven hits across 4 1/3 innings. He struck out eight and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 5th
James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
Notes 
 Snell may have posted the single greatest second half of any pitcher in the last 50 years with a 1.17 ERA, .155 BAA and 12.7 K/9. There is a chance he finishes as the #1 fantasy pitcher this season, but both Scherzer and Sale are safer bets because of their sustained reliability
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Snell experienced a massive breakout in 2018, establishing himself as a bonafide fantasy ace. It's fairly obvious that his 1.89 ERA is due for some regression, but the question is how much. He cut his walk rate, but it is still a bit higher than most of the top-tier starters, and his .241 BABIP allowed and 88 percent left-on-base percentage are highly unlikely to happen again. Pitching in the AL East also remain a tough assignment, although at least his home park is pitcher-friendly. Snell may see his ERA and WHIP rise to over 3.00 and 1.15, respectively, but he can still be a legit number one starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Snell is going to regress. That's not necessarily a cause for panic, as his ERA could rise a full run and remain a resounding 2.89. His control (9.1 BB%) is lacking for a top-tier ace, but Tampa Bay's southpaw also permitted the lowest contact rate (66.6%) of all qualified starters while sporting the fourth-best swinging-strike rate (15.1%). He could approach 240-250 strikeouts with an innings uptick, so don't flea as long as his price factors in some regression.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros