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Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
41 of 51 experts
20%
Recommended by
10 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 16
Best Rank# 8# 5
Worst Rank# 33# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 43# 47
Best Rank# 36# 45
Worst Rank# 49# 61
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts188177
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.433.83
WHIP1.161.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 15
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 14# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 15# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 16
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 16# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 13# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 15
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 13# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 17
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 9# 16
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 15# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 16
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 16
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 15
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 16# 23
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 15
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 17# 5
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 16
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched50.267.1
   
Wins46
   
Losses21
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4240
   
Earned Runs1820
   
Home Runs Allowed109
   
Strikeouts6380
   
Walks1810
   
ERA3.242.70
   
WHIP1.200.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2829
   
Innings Pitched151.4160.7
   
Wins1112
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed123136
   
Earned Runs5868
   
Home Runs Allowed1923
   
Strikeouts188177
   
Walks5346
   
ERA3.433.83
   
WHIP1.161.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
News 
 Blake Snell was placed on the injured list with a left adductor strain.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
 Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell left Sunday's game with tightness in his left adductor. He left after 11 pitches with a clean 2/3 innings pitched
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
 Blake Snell pitched a masterful game, not allowing a single base runner for the first six innings. He then gave up a two walks and a hit in the seventh to lose not only the perfect game but also the no-hitter.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
 Blake Snell went seven innings on Tuesday, allowing just two walks while striking out 10 batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
 Blake Snell finished the day pitching 7.2 innings, only allowing one earned run on three hits while tallying up 10 strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 26th
The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Notes 
 Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros