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Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
43 of 51 experts
16%
Recommended by
8 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 17
Best Rank# 8# 12
Worst Rank# 33# 38
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 43# 52
Best Rank# 36# 43
Worst Rank# 49# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts188198
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.433.95
WHIP1.161.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 14# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 15# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 18
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 16# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 15
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 13# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 16
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 13# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 18
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 9# 15
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 8# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 21
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 17# 28
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 16# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 12
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 17# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 17
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 24
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1113
   
Games Started1113
   
Innings Pitched50.284.0
   
Wins46
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4264
   
Earned Runs1831
   
Home Runs Allowed1013
   
Strikeouts6389
   
Walks1825
   
ERA3.243.32
   
WHIP1.201.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2830
   
Innings Pitched151.4184.1
   
Wins1112
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed123167
   
Earned Runs5881
   
Home Runs Allowed1927
   
Strikeouts188198
   
Walks5357
   
ERA3.433.95
   
WHIP1.161.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 Blake Snell was placed on the injured list with a left adductor strain.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell left Sunday's game with tightness in his left adductor. He left after 11 pitches with a clean 2/3 innings pitched
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
 Blake Snell pitched a masterful game, not allowing a single base runner for the first six innings. He then gave up a two walks and a hit in the seventh to lose not only the perfect game but also the no-hitter.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
 Blake Snell went seven innings on Tuesday, allowing just two walks while striking out 10 batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
 Blake Snell finished the day pitching 7.2 innings, only allowing one earned run on three hits while tallying up 10 strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 26th
The White Sox placed Lance Lynn on the 10-day injured list with a knee injury.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros