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Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Lucas Giolito (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
79%
Recommended by
34 of 43 experts
21%
Recommended by
9 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 18
Best Rank# 5# 11
Worst Rank# 377# 42
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 42# 52
Best Rank# 36# 44
Worst Rank# 47# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7579
Wins55
Saves00
ERA3.373.92
WHIP1.181.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 27
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 16
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 24
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 9# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 30
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 10# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 9# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 17
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 10# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 16
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 15
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 18
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 12
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 16
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 9# 26
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 11# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 23
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 15# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 14
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 12
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 15
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 11
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 21# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 377# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2329
   
Games Started2329
   
Innings Pitched107.2177.3
   
Wins614
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed96131
   
Earned Runs5167
   
Home Runs Allowed1424
   
Strikeouts147228
   
Walks4057
   
ERA4.293.41
   
WHIP1.271.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched59.967.1
   
Wins55
   
Losses33
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4856
   
Earned Runs2229
   
Home Runs Allowed710
   
Strikeouts7579
   
Walks2324
   
ERA3.373.92
   
WHIP1.181.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 Rays manager Kevin Cash says Blake Snell threw three innings an off-site workout on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 13th
Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito (chest) is expected to make his Cactus League debut later this week, according to manager Rick Renteria.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Mar 2nd
 Rays manager Kevin Cash says Blake Snell (elbow) "looked awesome" in Tuesday's bullpen session.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 1st
Lucas Giolito (chest) threw a bullpen on Saturday and said afterwards that he feels 100 percent.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 22nd
 Blake Snell (elbow) threw 15 fastballs off a mound on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 13th
Lucas Giolito (chest muscle) made throws from 150 feet on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 19th
 Blake Snell (elbow) has not been throwing off of a mound during the coronavirus pandemic.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 24th
Lucas Giolito is dealing with a strained muscle in his rib-cage area, and is expected to miss the first week of Cactus League play.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Feb 12th
 Blake Snell does not believe it’s worth playing baseball in 2020, the risk of contracting COVID-19 is “just not worth it.”
Brad Camara
Thu, May 14th
 
Notes 
 You need to pull the trigger on a starter eventually. With Snell, there's no debating the ace-type ceiling that he has - look at his 2018 season if you need further proof - but so far, that's been the big outlier for him. He's dealt with a rash of injuries, which has forced the Rays to limit his workload. In Spring Training, he was dealing with elbow soreness. He's a high-risk, high-reward pick this year. You've been warned.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
There's a reason that you hear fantasy analysts say that you should target post-hype players: baseball is hard, man, and it takes time for players to fully figure it out. With his prospect pedigree, it took longer than most thought for Lucas Giolito to figure things out. But boy did he ever in 2019, with his 25-start dominating stretch to end the season. He looked like a totally different pitcher - but one who mowed down the league. Hitters are more often to click sooner than pitchers are in the big leagues, and if you look at his peripherals, there's not much to question about Giolito's breakout performance. As long as he keeps his increased velocity on his fastball, he'll continue to be a solid SP2 for fantasy managers.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Snell's subpar season was limited to just 107 innings after he underwent arthroscopic elbow surgery. Although owners might want to shy away after last year, there were plenty of encouraging signs. His FIP and xFIP were roughly a run lower than his ERA, his 33.3% strikeout rate was actually an improvement on his breakout year, and batters continued to make incredibly weak contact. If healthy, he should return to dominance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Giolito earned every bit of his breakout season, putting up an ERA that we nearly identical to his FIP and xFIP and a major gain in control. Most impressive for Giolito was his ability to limit contact on pitches in the strike zone - just 77.3%, second best in MLB behind Gerrit Cole. His raw stuff is elite, and another fantastic season should follow in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros