Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Trevor Bauer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
42 of 59 experts
29%
Recommended by
17 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 10
Best Rank# 3# 1
Worst Rank# 16# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 28# 31
Best Rank# 27# 30
Worst Rank# 30# 46
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216218
Wins1414
Saves00
ERA3.153.33
WHIP1.181.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 12# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 15
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 7# 8
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 7# 10
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 9
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 14
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 7# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 14# 17
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 9# 10
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 6# 8
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 3# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 7# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 11
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 9
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 17
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 8# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 9# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 6# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 8
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 7# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 6# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 12
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 9# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 9
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 10
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 5# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 9
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 8# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 5
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 5
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 7
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 9# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 8
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 9
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 10# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 5
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 11# 9
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 11# 8
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 1
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 12# 11
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3127
   
Innings Pitched181.1175.1
   
Wins2112
   
Losses56
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed112134
   
Earned Runs3843
   
Home Runs Allowed169
   
Strikeouts221221
   
Walks6457
   
ERA1.892.21
   
WHIP0.971.09
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3231
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched182.9187.0
   
Wins1414
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed145160
   
Earned Runs6469
   
Home Runs Allowed1919
   
Strikeouts216218
   
Walks7262
   
ERA3.153.33
   
WHIP1.181.19
   
  Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Blake Snell (elbow) is scheduled to return on Tuesday versus the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Trevor Bauer (2-4) earned the win Sunday against the Diamondbacks, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over eight innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 16th
 Blake Snell (elbow) is joining the Rays in California for their upcoming series against the Angels and Dodgers, MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision Tuesday against the Mariners, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 11th
 Blake Snell is scheduled to throw two innings (or 30 pitches) for Triple-A Durham on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's win over the Phillies, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
 Blake Snell (elbow) will make a rehab start Saturday for Triple-A Durham, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Trevor Bauer (10-12) took the loss in game one of Saturday's double header against the Cardinals, allowing six runs on seven hits and three walks over four innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 31st
 Blake Snell (elbow) is set to play catch Monday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Mon, Aug 12th
Trevor Bauer will not make his scheduled start Friday against the Cardinals due to inclement weather.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Snell may have posted the single greatest second half of any pitcher in the last 50 years with a 1.17 ERA, .155 BAA and 12.7 K/9. There is a chance he finishes as the #1 fantasy pitcher this season, but both Scherzer and Sale are safer bets because of their sustained reliability
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Snell experienced a massive breakout in 2018, establishing himself as a bonafide fantasy ace. It's fairly obvious that his 1.89 ERA is due for some regression, but the question is how much. He cut his walk rate, but it is still a bit higher than most of the top-tier starters, and his .241 BABIP allowed and 88 percent left-on-base percentage are highly unlikely to happen again. Pitching in the AL East also remain a tough assignment, although at least his home park is pitcher-friendly. Snell may see his ERA and WHIP rise to over 3.00 and 1.15, respectively, but he can still be a legit number one starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Snell is going to regress. That's not necessarily a cause for panic, as his ERA could rise a full run and remain a resounding 2.89. His control (9.1 BB%) is lacking for a top-tier ace, but Tampa Bay's southpaw also permitted the lowest contact rate (66.6%) of all qualified starters while sporting the fourth-best swinging-strike rate (15.1%). He could approach 240-250 strikeouts with an innings uptick, so don't flea as long as his price factors in some regression.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros