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Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 49
Best Rank# 23# 15
Worst Rank# 98# 98
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 43# 51
Best Rank# 36# 40
Worst Rank# 49# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs84
Home Runs1927
RBI95
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.288
Strikeouts188101
Wins11
Saves0
ERA3.43
WHIP1.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 37# 95
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 44# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 98
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 45# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 32
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 43# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 45# 71
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 45# 46
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 47# 52
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 52# 59
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 44
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 48# 59
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 70
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 53# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 64
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 41# 47
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 46# 50
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 37# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 54
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 48# 53
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 46# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 50# 53
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 27# 57
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 48# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 34# 85
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 46# 49
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 34# 51
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 48# 54
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 50# 53
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 15
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 40# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 46# 45
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 46# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 48# 39
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 45
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 50# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 51# 35
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 53# 39
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 55# 53
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 57# 41
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 60# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 51
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 75# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 83# 74
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 98# 57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs109
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.262
   
Strikeouts6338
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.24
   
WHIP1.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs84
   
Home Runs1927
   
RBI95
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.288
   
Strikeouts188101
   
Wins11
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.43
   
WHIP1.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Blake Snell was placed on the injured list with a left adductor strain.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Saturday's win over the Orioles after rolling his ankle but is feeling fine, Mike Wilner of the Toronto Star reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell left Sunday's game with tightness in his left adductor. He left after 11 pitches with a clean 2/3 innings pitched
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-4 with a double and drove in a run on Thursday as the Blue Jays lost to the Yankees by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Oct 1st
 Blake Snell pitched a masterful game, not allowing a single base runner for the first six innings. He then gave up a two walks and a hit in the seventh to lose not only the perfect game but also the no-hitter.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double, and scored a run on Wednesday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rays by a 7-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Blake Snell went seven innings on Tuesday, allowing just two walks while striking out 10 batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's 7-3 loss to Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
 Blake Snell finished the day pitching 7.2 innings, only allowing one earned run on three hits while tallying up 10 strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 26th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
Notes 
 Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros