Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Blake Snell or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
34 of 55 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 49
Best Rank# 23# 15
Worst Rank# 98# 98
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 43# 51
Best Rank# 36# 40
Worst Rank# 49# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs84
Home Runs1927
RBI95
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.288
Strikeouts188101
Wins11
Saves0
ERA3.43
WHIP1.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 37# 95
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 44# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 98
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 45# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 32
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 43# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 45# 71
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 45# 46
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 47# 52
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 52# 59
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 44
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 48# 59
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 70
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 53# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 64
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 41# 47
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 46# 50
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 37# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 54
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 48# 53
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 50# 53
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 27# 57
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 48# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 34# 85
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 46# 49
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 34# 51
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 48# 54
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 50# 53
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 15
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 40# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 46# 45
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 46# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 48# 39
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 45
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 50# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 51# 35
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 53# 39
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 55# 53
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 57# 41
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 60# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 51
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 75# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 83# 74
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 98# 57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs109
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.262
   
Strikeouts6338
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.24
   
WHIP1.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs84
   
Home Runs1927
   
RBI95
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.288
   
Strikeouts188101
   
Wins11
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.43
   
WHIP1.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Blake Snell
SP - SD
Blake Snell
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Blake Snell gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Giants on Saturday. Snell struck out 6 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sun, May 2nd
Vladimir Guerrero went 3-for-4 at the plate with a double and a run scored in Monday's 5-4 loss to Oakland
John Aubin
Tue, May 4th
 Blake Snell gave up 2 earned runs in 5.1 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Snell struck out 7 and walked 2 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 25th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a walk and scored a run as the Blue Jays beat the Braves by a 6-5 win on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 2nd
 Blake Snell gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Sunday. Snell struck out 7 in the outing and walked 2.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 19th
Vladimir Guerrero went 3-for-4 with three home runs and seven total RBI during Tuesday's win over the Nationals by a 9-5 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 28th
 Blake Snell pitched 2/3 of an inning and gave up 3 earned runs in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Tuesday. Snell struck out 1 and walked 2 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 14th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with one RBI, a run scored, and two walks in a 6-3 win over the Red Sox on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 22nd
 Blake Snell gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Wednesday. Snell struck out 8 in the outing and walked 4.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a second run scored in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Royals.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 18th
Notes 
 Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Blake Snell made 16 starts in 2020, including the playoffs, and didn't finish six innings in any of them. In fact, the lefty hasn't completed six innings since July 21st, 2019. This is a killer for fantasy leagues that use quality starts as a category, but Snell still has the skills to be useful for fantasy purposes. If he had the innings to qualify then Snell would have the second-best swinging strike rate among starters since the beginning of '19. Perhaps the Padres will allow him to pitch deeper into starts. This could be a case of efficiency meeting added volume, which usually equates to fantasy goodness.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros