Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Brad Hand or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 46
Best Rank# 14# 28
Worst Rank# 46# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 104
Best Rank# 51# 93
Worst Rank# 60# 126
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17478
Wins94
Saves024
ERA3.633.52
WHIP1.201.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 50
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 67
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 38
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 40
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 51
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 48
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 46
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 51
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 45
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 46
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 64
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 65
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 44
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 59
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 54
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 43
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 47
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 45
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 34
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 46
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 44
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 46
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 40
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 48
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 42
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 79
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 39
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 41
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1223
   
Games Started90
   
Innings Pitched60.322.1
   
Wins42
   
Losses11
   
Saves016
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed3713
   
Earned Runs145
   
Home Runs Allowed20
   
Strikeouts8829
   
Walks244
   
ERA2.112.05
   
WHIP1.020.77
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2962
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched142.160.5
   
Wins94
   
Losses73
   
Saves024
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed12051
   
Earned Runs5724
   
Home Runs Allowed188
   
Strikeouts17478
   
Walks5118
   
ERA3.633.52
   
WHIP1.201.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
News 
 Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Reliever Brad Hand has been claimed off of waivers by the Mets from the Blue Jays.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Sep 2nd
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Brad Hand walks in the winning run in the ninth inning against the Mariners on Friday as the Blue Jays lost by a 3-2 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 14th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Brad Hand (5-6) allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and struck out one in one inning, taking the loss Monday versus Cleveland.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 3rd
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Brad Hand pitched in a setup role in his Blue Jays debut Friday, allowing an unearned run on two hits in the eighth inning of the 6-4 win over the Royals.
John Aubin
Sat, Jul 31st
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
The Washington Nationals have traded left-hander Brad Hand to the Toronto Blue Jays in exchange for catcher Riley Adams.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 29th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hand joins the Nationals on a one-year deal after Cleveland declined his option. His velocity declined a bit last season, but the league's collective lack of interest in Hand is surprising, given that he's coming off one of the best seasons of his career, led the league in saves, has been a top-10 reliever over the last five seasons, and is a lefty. Dave Martinez wants Hand to be the Nationals' closer based on his comments, but it's unclear whether he'll be the sole option. The Nationals barely have another lefty reliever in their bullpen, let alone a reliable one, so chances are that Hand will be deployed earlier in the game if the opposing team has multiple left-handed hitters due up. All that to say that Hand is a reliable reliever who you should draft for his overall numbers, but he may provide fewer saves than most traditional closers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros