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Who Should I Draft?

Brad Hand or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 46
Best Rank# 5# 28
Worst Rank# 36# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 104
Best Rank# 45# 93
Worst Rank# 61# 126
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17778
Wins124
Saves024
ERA3.833.52
WHIP1.131.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 50
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 67
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 45
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 38
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 40
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 51
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 48
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 46
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 51
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 45
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 46
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 64
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 65
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 44
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 44
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 59
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 54
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 43
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 47
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 45
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 34
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 46
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 44
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 28
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 46
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 40
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 48
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 42
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1123
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.122.1
   
Wins62
   
Losses11
   
Saves016
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed4013
   
Earned Runs205
   
Home Runs Allowed90
   
Strikeouts8029
   
Walks104
   
ERA2.702.05
   
WHIP0.750.77
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3062
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched160.760.5
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves024
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed13651
   
Earned Runs6824
   
Home Runs Allowed238
   
Strikeouts17778
   
Walks4618
   
ERA3.833.52
   
WHIP1.131.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Brad Hand
RP - NYM
Brad Hand
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Reliever Brad Hand has been claimed off of waivers by the Mets from the Blue Jays.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Sep 2nd
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Brad Hand walks in the winning run in the ninth inning against the Mariners on Friday as the Blue Jays lost by a 3-2 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 14th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Brad Hand (5-6) allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and struck out one in one inning, taking the loss Monday versus Cleveland.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 3rd
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Brad Hand pitched in a setup role in his Blue Jays debut Friday, allowing an unearned run on two hits in the eighth inning of the 6-4 win over the Royals.
John Aubin
Sat, Jul 31st
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
The Washington Nationals have traded left-hander Brad Hand to the Toronto Blue Jays in exchange for catcher Riley Adams.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 29th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hand joins the Nationals on a one-year deal after Cleveland declined his option. His velocity declined a bit last season, but the league's collective lack of interest in Hand is surprising, given that he's coming off one of the best seasons of his career, led the league in saves, has been a top-10 reliever over the last five seasons, and is a lefty. Dave Martinez wants Hand to be the Nationals' closer based on his comments, but it's unclear whether he'll be the sole option. The Nationals barely have another lefty reliever in their bullpen, let alone a reliable one, so chances are that Hand will be deployed earlier in the game if the opposing team has multiple left-handed hitters due up. All that to say that Hand is a reliable reliever who you should draft for his overall numbers, but he may provide fewer saves than most traditional closers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros