Who Should I Draft?
Brandon Lowe or Paul Goldschmidt (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B - STL  | Brandon Lowe 1B,2B,RF - TB  | |
Expert |
74% Recommended by 37 of 50 experts |
26% Recommended by 13 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 46 | # 55 |
| Best Rank | # 23 | # 32 |
| Worst Rank | # 91 | # 116 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 68 | # 63 |
| Best Rank | # 69 | # 62 |
| Worst Rank | # 89 | # 78 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 88 | 79 |
| Home Runs | 27 | 28 |
| RBI | 81 | 84 |
| Stolen Bases | 4 | 7 |
| Batting Average | .272 | .256 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 36 | # 43 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 39 | # 54 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 41 | # 46 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 53 | # 62 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 50 | # 64 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 23 | # 93 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 59 | # 86 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 51 | # 59 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 64 | # 89 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 44 | # 46 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 50 | # 67 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 68 | # 116 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 55 | # 67 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 46 | # 56 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 40 | # 54 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 39 | # 62 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 46 | # 50 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 35 | # 74 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 51 | # 53 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 50 | # 51 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 46 | # 61 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 48 | # 76 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 49 | # 56 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 50 | # 64 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 69 | # 77 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 36 | # 67 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 43 | # 45 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 50 | # 53 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 37 | # 52 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 49 | # 58 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 31 | # 32 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 43 | # 48 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 48 | # 54 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 53 | # 55 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 49 | # 57 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 44 | # 81 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 53 | # 100 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 55 | # 33 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 51 | # 33 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 38 | # 36 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 47 | # 40 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 51 | # 41 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 54 | # 42 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 49 | # 44 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 51 | # 44 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 51 | # 44 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 51 | # 46 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 60 | # 47 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 51 | # 50 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 91 | # 65 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B - STL | Brandon Lowe 1B,2B,RF - TB | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 191 | 193 |
| Runs | 31 | 36 |
| Hits | 58 | 52 |
| Singles | 39 | 27 |
| Doubles | 13 | 9 |
| Triples | 0 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 6 | 14 |
| RBI | 21 | 37 |
| Stolen Bases | 1 | 3 |
| Caught Stealing | 0 | 0 |
| Walks | 37 | 25 |
| Strikeouts | 43 | 58 |
| Batting Average | .304 | .269 |
| On Base Pct | .417 | .362 |
| Slugging Pct | .466 | .554 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .883 | .916 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B - STL | Brandon Lowe 1B,2B,RF - TB | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 554 | 513 |
| Runs | 88 | 79 |
| Hits | 149 | 129 |
| Singles | 92 | 71 |
| Doubles | 28 | 26 |
| Triples | 2 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 27 | 28 |
| RBI | 81 | 84 |
| Stolen Bases | 4 | 7 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 2 |
| Walks | 82 | 55 |
| Strikeouts | 150 | 161 |
| Batting Average | .272 | .256 |
| On Base Pct | .367 | .329 |
| Slugging Pct | .472 | .482 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .840 | .811 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B - STL | Brandon Lowe 1B,2B,RF - TB | |
| News | ||
| Paul Goldschmidt hit his first home run of the season on Tuesday, connecting for a solo shot in the first inning against Stephen Strasburg before later adding a two-run single as part of the Cardinals nine-run fifth inning. Goldschmidt finished the night 2-for-4 with two runs scored and three RBI. Lucas Spence Wed, Apr 14th | Brandon Lowe hit his first homer of the 2021 season in Wednesday's loss to the Rangers. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Apr 15th | |
| Cardinals 1B Paul Goldschmidt has been scratched from Thursday's lineup due to lower back tightness. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Apr 8th | Brandon Lowe went 2-for-4 at the plate on Tuesday night as the Rays lost to the Rangers by an 8-3 score. John Aubin Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Paul Goldschmidt was rather quiet again on Tuesday, recording only one hit in five at-bats while scoring a run. Lucas Spence Tue, Apr 6th | Brandon Lowe went 1-for-5 at the plate with a three-run double and three strikeouts in Friday's 10-5 win over the Yankees. John Aubin Sat, Apr 10th | |
| Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt had a big game on Thursday, going 4-for-5 with two doubles, three runs scored, and an RBI in an 11-6 season-opening win over Cincinnati. Lucas Spence Fri, Apr 2nd | Brandon Lowe went 0-for-2 at the plate and walked twice as the Rays lost to the Red Sox by a 9-2 score on Wednesday afternoon. John Aubin Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Cardinals manager Mike Shildt indicated Wednesday that 1B Paul Goldschmidt will bat second this season. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Mar 18th | Brandon Lowe is absent from Saturday's lineup against the Marlins. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sat, Apr 3rd | |
| Notes | ||
| Goldschmidt had an interesting 2020 season, during which he brought his batting average back up to .304 and his walk rate to 16%, while simultaneously dropping his strikeout rate to a career best 18.6%. After swinging more than he ever had in his first season with the Cardinals, Goldschmidt returned to the patient approach he had developed throughout his career, swinging at just 40.5% of pitches (after a 46.4% swinging strike rate the year before). But while his average went up, his power waned, as he hit just six home runs and had a career-worst .466 slugging percentage. Nolan Arenado batting behind him this year should help, and he had bone chips removed from his elbow this offseason. There could be another big-time power season left in Goldschmidt's bat, but the more likely scenario is that he will put up solid but unspectacular production at the first base position. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Lowe actually lost a point on his batting average from 2019 (.269 from .270), but his profile looked far better in 2020. He cut his strikeout rate from 34.6% to 25.9%, and his swinging strike rate from 19.1% to 15.4%. Despite barreling the ball a whopping 17.5% of the time (top 2 percent in baseball), his average dropped a point because, well, he just didn't have an outrageously lucky BABIP like he did in 2019 (.377). Lowe improved his ISO and HR/FB rate, and was generally the best version of himself in 2020. Even mashing together his 2019 and 2020 seasons, Lowe has hit 31 homers and stole eight bases over 138 games. Batting near the top of a strong lineup, he should deliver another solid season at the thin second base position. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| We might've written Goldschmidt's obituary too soon following 2019. His .417 OBP ranked seventh in baseball, which highlighted a trend of the former Diamondback chasing less and less. Goldy's chase rate dropped from 28.4% to 22.5% in 2020. His average exit velocity has dropped but his max exit velocity has remained consistent. All of this combined with the arrival of Nolan Arenado should have fantasy managers excited about the discount Goldschmidt can be had at. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Lowe is underrated. Has legit 30/10 potential, health barring. I like him at ADP. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | |
