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Who Should I Draft?

Brandon Lowe or Paul Goldschmidt (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
Expert
Recommendation
74%
Recommended by
37 of 50 experts
26%
Recommended by
13 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 46# 55
Best Rank# 23# 32
Worst Rank# 91# 116
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 63
Best Rank# 69# 62
Worst Rank# 89# 78
   
Projections 
   
Runs8879
Home Runs2728
RBI8184
Stolen Bases47
Batting Average.272.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 43
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 54
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 62
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 23# 93
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 86
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 51# 59
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 64# 89
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 44# 46
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 50# 67
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 68# 116
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 67
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46# 56
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 40# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 39# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 46# 50
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 74
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 51# 53
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 50# 51
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 46# 61
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 48# 76
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 49# 56
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 64
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 69# 77
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 67
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 43# 45
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 50# 53
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 37# 52
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 49# 58
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 31# 32
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 43# 48
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 48# 54
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 53# 55
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 49# 57
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 44# 81
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 53# 100
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 55# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 33
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 36
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 41
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 44
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 51# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 51# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 60# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 51# 50
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 91# 65
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats191193
   
Runs3136
   
Hits5852
   
Singles3927
   
Doubles139
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs614
   
RBI2137
   
Stolen Bases13
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks3725
   
Strikeouts4358
   
Batting Average.304.269
   
On Base Pct.417.362
   
Slugging Pct.466.554
   
On-base Plus Slugging.883.916
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554513
   
Runs8879
   
Hits149129
   
Singles9271
   
Doubles2826
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2728
   
RBI8184
   
Stolen Bases47
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks8255
   
Strikeouts150161
   
Batting Average.272.256
   
On Base Pct.367.329
   
Slugging Pct.472.482
   
On-base Plus Slugging.840.811
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
News 
 Paul Goldschmidt hit his first home run of the season on Tuesday, connecting for a solo shot in the first inning against Stephen Strasburg before later adding a two-run single as part of the Cardinals nine-run fifth inning. Goldschmidt finished the night 2-for-4 with two runs scored and three RBI.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 14th
Brandon Lowe hit his first homer of the 2021 season in Wednesday's loss to the Rangers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 15th
 Cardinals 1B Paul Goldschmidt has been scratched from Thursday's lineup due to lower back tightness.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 8th
Brandon Lowe went 2-for-4 at the plate on Tuesday night as the Rays lost to the Rangers by an 8-3 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 14th
 Paul Goldschmidt was rather quiet again on Tuesday, recording only one hit in five at-bats while scoring a run.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Apr 6th
Brandon Lowe went 1-for-5 at the plate with a three-run double and three strikeouts in Friday's 10-5 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Sat, Apr 10th
 Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt had a big game on Thursday, going 4-for-5 with two doubles, three runs scored, and an RBI in an 11-6 season-opening win over Cincinnati.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Apr 2nd
Brandon Lowe went 0-for-2 at the plate and walked twice as the Rays lost to the Red Sox by a 9-2 score on Wednesday afternoon.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 7th
 Cardinals manager Mike Shildt indicated Wednesday that 1B Paul Goldschmidt will bat second this season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Mar 18th
Brandon Lowe is absent from Saturday's lineup against the Marlins.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 3rd
Notes 
 Goldschmidt had an interesting 2020 season, during which he brought his batting average back up to .304 and his walk rate to 16%, while simultaneously dropping his strikeout rate to a career best 18.6%. After swinging more than he ever had in his first season with the Cardinals, Goldschmidt returned to the patient approach he had developed throughout his career, swinging at just 40.5% of pitches (after a 46.4% swinging strike rate the year before). But while his average went up, his power waned, as he hit just six home runs and had a career-worst .466 slugging percentage. Nolan Arenado batting behind him this year should help, and he had bone chips removed from his elbow this offseason. There could be another big-time power season left in Goldschmidt's bat, but the more likely scenario is that he will put up solid but unspectacular production at the first base position.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lowe actually lost a point on his batting average from 2019 (.269 from .270), but his profile looked far better in 2020. He cut his strikeout rate from 34.6% to 25.9%, and his swinging strike rate from 19.1% to 15.4%. Despite barreling the ball a whopping 17.5% of the time (top 2 percent in baseball), his average dropped a point because, well, he just didn't have an outrageously lucky BABIP like he did in 2019 (.377). Lowe improved his ISO and HR/FB rate, and was generally the best version of himself in 2020. Even mashing together his 2019 and 2020 seasons, Lowe has hit 31 homers and stole eight bases over 138 games. Batting near the top of a strong lineup, he should deliver another solid season at the thin second base position.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 We might've written Goldschmidt's obituary too soon following 2019. His .417 OBP ranked seventh in baseball, which highlighted a trend of the former Diamondback chasing less and less. Goldy's chase rate dropped from 28.4% to 22.5% in 2020. His average exit velocity has dropped but his max exit velocity has remained consistent. All of this combined with the arrival of Nolan Arenado should have fantasy managers excited about the discount Goldschmidt can be had at.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Lowe is underrated. Has legit 30/10 potential, health barring. I like him at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy