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Who Should I Draft?

Brandon Woodruff or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
47 of 51 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 16
Best Rank# 4# 5
Worst Rank# 27# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 37# 47
Best Rank# 32# 45
Worst Rank# 50# 61
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts191177
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.453.83
WHIP1.131.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 12# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 12# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 19# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 15
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 13# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 23
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 15
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 13# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 9# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 16
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 8# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 12# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 16
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 4# 15
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 15
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 17# 19
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 9# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 17
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 14# 16
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 13# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 11# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 13# 16
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 13# 16
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 13# 15
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 14# 23
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 10# 5
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 14# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 16# 10
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1311
   
Games Started1311
   
Innings Pitched74.267.1
   
Wins36
   
Losses51
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5540
   
Earned Runs2520
   
Home Runs Allowed99
   
Strikeouts9180
   
Walks1810
   
ERA3.052.70
   
WHIP0.990.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched165.5160.7
   
Wins1112
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed141136
   
Earned Runs6368
   
Home Runs Allowed2023
   
Strikeouts191177
   
Walks4646
   
ERA3.453.83
   
WHIP1.131.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
News 
 Brandon Woodruff (9-10) took the loss Tuesday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on two hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 22nd
Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
 Brandon Woodruff (9-9) took the loss Wednesday against the Tigers, allowing three runs on four hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 15th
Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
 The Brewers have scratched pitcher Brandon Woodruff from his start on Saturday due to a stomach bug. Eric Lauer will take the mound instead. Meanwhile, Woodruff's start has been moved back to Wednesday.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
 Brandon Woodruff (9-8) took the loss Monday against the Phillies, allowing four runs on nine hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
 Brandon Woodruff (9-7) earned the victory Tuesday against the Giants, allowing one run on five hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Notes 
 There were some skeptics after Woodruff succeeded in 2019 based largely on one pitch - his devastating fastball - but he put those concerns to rest in 2020. His ERA (3.05) and WHIP (0.99) were incredibly strong, particularly when you consider that he struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Woodruff's fastball hits rests at 96 MPH and is one of the better pitches in baseball, but his slider and changeup both made strides last year. The Brewers are reportedly planning to add about 100 innings to their starter's workloads last season, so pencil Woodruff in for roughly 175 extremely strong frames. You can survive with him as your fantasy ace, though he's best as an incredibly strong number 2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Woodruff's 2020 season ranked in the 90th percentile in both xERA and xwOBA. He rates out well according to both FIP and Baseball Savant. It's fair to call him a good-to-great starting pitcher. The question becomes what kind of workload can we expect from Milwaukee's No. 1? Woodruff logged 73 2/3 innings last summer after posting a career-high 121 2/3 frames in 2019. The Brewers plan to add on 100 innings to each of their SP's workloads from last year. If you believe Woodruff will hold up then he's a wildly exciting SP2 in fantasy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros