Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Alex Bregman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 12
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 25# 22
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 16# 13
Best Rank# 11# 10
Worst Rank# 20# 15
   
Projections 
   
Runs9999
Home Runs3527
RBI10194
Stolen Bases1111
Batting Average.269.287
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 8# 9
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 12
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 12# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 14
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 22
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 7# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 18
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 8# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 12
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 17
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 17
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 13
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 9# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 17
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 8# 6
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 7
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 9
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 8
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 11
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 10
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 13# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 11
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 13# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 9
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 10
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 21# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 20
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats550594
   
Runs103105
   
Hits137170
   
Singles6987
   
Doubles3451
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs3431
   
RBI100103
   
Stolen Bases1310
   
Caught Stealing34
   
Walks13096
   
Strikeouts16985
   
Batting Average.249.286
   
On Base Pct.393.394
   
Slugging Pct.496.532
   
On-base Plus Slugging.889.926
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats516572
   
Runs9999
   
Hits139164
   
Singles7392
   
Doubles2942
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs3527
   
RBI10194
   
Stolen Bases1111
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks11177
   
Strikeouts14588
   
Batting Average.269.287
   
On Base Pct.398.372
   
Slugging Pct.533.514
   
On-base Plus Slugging.931.885
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a walk, home run, three RBI, and two runs scored against Toronto on Friday.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
 Phillies outfielder went 1-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Sunday's loss to the Reds. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a single, two walks, and one run scored on Tuesday against the Brewers.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 12th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 in the team's win over the Cincinnati Reds on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th
Alex Bregman went 3-for-6 with a walk, two singles, one homer, one RBI, and one run scored on Thursday against Seattle.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Jun 6th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
Alex Bregman went 2-for-4 with a double, single, three RBI, and one run scored on Tuesday against Seattle.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 5th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI in Thursday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a single, walk, and one RBI on Saturday against Oakland.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bregman had 83 extra-base hits last season to go with 105 runs and 103 RBIs despite being just 24 years old. Chances are high that his fantasy value continues to trend north. With that said, he is currently recovering from elbow surgery so be sure to keep an eye on his progress before picking him up in the 1st round this spring.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
With great plate discipline and a great supporting cast, Bregman is a very safe, high-floor selection on draft day. He's an excellent bet to produce a .280 average, 25-30 HRs, and around 10 stolen bases, with big run and RBI totals thanks to the Astros' stacked lineup.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Bregman's superstar ascension featured a stellar .286/.394/.532 slash line, 32 homers, and more walks (96) than strikeouts (85). He finished among the top five in contact, outside-swing, and swinging-strike rates, so the elite plate approach could feasibly net a .300 average in 2019. Yet a .463 xSLG suggests he hit his power ceiling, which is concerning considering the drop in steals (10). Drafters now must also monitor his progress from offseason arthroscopic surgery on his elbow, making Bregman a dicey proposition in the first round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
  End of Tier 2
Michael Florio - Fantrax