Who Should I Draft?
Bryce Harper or Francisco Lindor (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI  | Francisco Lindor SS - NYM  | |
Expert |
76% Recommended by 38 of 50 experts |
24% Recommended by 12 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 11 | # 13 |
| Best Rank | # 7 | # 6 |
| Worst Rank | # 24 | # 23 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 18 | # 16 |
| Best Rank | # 17 | # 15 |
| Worst Rank | # 18 | # 19 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 103 | 97 |
| Home Runs | 36 | 30 |
| RBI | 104 | 86 |
| Stolen Bases | 14 | 18 |
| Batting Average | .266 | .271 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 12 | # 13 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 14 | # 22 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 11 | # 12 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 11 | # 14 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 7 | # 8 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 11 | # 23 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 12 | # 13 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 12 | # 14 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 12 | # 15 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 13 | # 14 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 12 | # 13 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 11 | # 16 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 11 | # 13 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 11 | # 13 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 10 | # 21 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 13 | # 16 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 11 | # 18 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 11 | # 13 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 11 | # 14 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 11 | # 13 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 12 | # 14 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 11 | # 13 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 9 | # 12 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 11 | # 12 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 11 | # 13 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 10 | # 21 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 7 | # 14 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 11 | # 14 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 11 | # 13 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 12 | # 13 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 8 | # 12 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 12 | # 21 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 11 | # 12 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 11 | # 13 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 9 | # 17 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 11 | # 15 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 12 | # 13 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 11 | # 23 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 11 | # 10 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 11 | # 10 |
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 12 | # 11 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 12 | # 6 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 12 | # 11 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 13 | # 12 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 13 | # 11 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 13 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 14 | # 8 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 16 | # 14 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 18 | # 13 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 24 | # 16 |
| Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI | Francisco Lindor SS - NYM | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 190 | 236 |
| Runs | 41 | 30 |
| Hits | 51 | 61 |
| Singles | 27 | 40 |
| Doubles | 9 | 13 |
| Triples | 2 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 13 | 8 |
| RBI | 33 | 27 |
| Stolen Bases | 8 | 6 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 2 |
| Walks | 49 | 24 |
| Strikeouts | 43 | 41 |
| Batting Average | .268 | .259 |
| On Base Pct | .420 | .335 |
| Slugging Pct | .542 | .415 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .962 | .750 |
| Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI | Francisco Lindor SS - NYM | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 536 | 607 |
| Runs | 103 | 97 |
| Hits | 141 | 163 |
| Singles | 73 | 97 |
| Doubles | 30 | 34 |
| Triples | 2 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 36 | 30 |
| RBI | 104 | 86 |
| Stolen Bases | 14 | 18 |
| Caught Stealing | 4 | 6 |
| Walks | 111 | 58 |
| Strikeouts | 155 | 106 |
| Batting Average | .266 | .271 |
| On Base Pct | .394 | .335 |
| Slugging Pct | .527 | .482 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .920 | .817 |
| Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI | Francisco Lindor SS - NYM | |
| News | ||
| Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's win over the Braves. The homer was his second of the season and his second in as many days. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Mon, Apr 12th | Francisco Lindor went 0-4 with one run scored and one RBI as the Mets won 8-4 over the Phillies. Lucas Babits-Feinerman Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his first of the season. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Sun, Apr 11th | MLB insider Jon Heyman is reporting that star shortstop Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets have agreed to a contract extension worth approximately $340 million. ESPN's Jeff Passan adds that the deal is for 10 years and $341 million, while Joel Sherman of the New York Post is reporting that the deal includes a partial no-trade clause and about $50 million worth of deferrals. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Wed, Mar 31st | |
| Bryce Harper went 0-for-1 with two walks, a hit by pitch, an RBI, and a run scored as the Phillies beat the Mets at home on Monday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Apr 6th | Shortstop Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets are no closer to a contract extension than they have been in recent days, according to MLB insider Jeff Passan. Per Passan, The Mets have an offer on the table of $325 million over 10 years, while Lindor has not budged on his counteroffer of approximately $375 million over 12 years. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Wed, Mar 31st | |
| Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper says he feels no pain this spring after fighting through a back injury in 2020. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Feb 23rd | Deesha Thosar of the New York Daily News reports that the Mets and SS Francisco Lindor are in a "continued stalemate" in regards to a long-term extension. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Mar 31st | |
| Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports that Francisco Lindor is seeking a 12-year, $385 million contract from the Mets. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Mar 30th | ||
| Notes | ||
| In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Lindor's season wasn't particularly impressive, as his surface numbers regressed fairly significantly from his previous three seasons. But, under the hood, not much changed. His walk rate and strikeout rate were largely steady, and his statcast data remained on par with his career marks. He also got much better to close the year, batting .285 with a 122 wRC+ over his final 39 games. Just 27 years old and now with a stronger lineup with the Mets, Lindor should put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 levels, especially since he'll be playing for a new contract after this season. He'll come at a bit of a discount in the second round this year, and he's well worth your investment at that price. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | If you were to judge Lindor by his 2020 triple slash line, then you'd think he had a disappointing season. To an extent, that's true! Lindor's .258/.335/.415 performance last summer certainly wasn't what fantasy managers were expecting. However, this looks like a case of someone who would've rebounded over the course of a full season. Lindor posted a career-high 41.1% hard-hit rate as well as a career-best air contact (55.8%), which measures fly balls and line drives. His arrival in New York will keep him in the conversation for
the first two rounds of fantasy drafts this spring. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
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