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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Francisco Lindor (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
38 of 51 experts
25%
Recommended by
13 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 13
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 24# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 16
Best Rank# 17# 15
Worst Rank# 18# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs10397
Home Runs3630
RBI10486
Stolen Bases1418
Batting Average.266.271
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 12# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 12# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 14
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 12# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 11# 13
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 11# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 13
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 8# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 21
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 11# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 11# 13
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 11# 15
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 13
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 11# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 11
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 13# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 13
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 18# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats190236
   
Runs4130
   
Hits5161
   
Singles2740
   
Doubles913
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs138
   
RBI3327
   
Stolen Bases86
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4924
   
Strikeouts4341
   
Batting Average.268.259
   
On Base Pct.420.335
   
Slugging Pct.542.415
   
On-base Plus Slugging.962.750
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats536607
   
Runs10397
   
Hits141163
   
Singles7397
   
Doubles3034
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3630
   
RBI10486
   
Stolen Bases1418
   
Caught Stealing46
   
Walks11158
   
Strikeouts155106
   
Batting Average.266.271
   
On Base Pct.394.335
   
Slugging Pct.527.482
   
On-base Plus Slugging.920.817
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles, a home run, three runs scored, four RBI, and two walks in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 17th
Francisco Lindor went 1-for-4 with two strikeouts on Sunday. The Mets won 3-2.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 16th
Francisco Lindor went 3-for-5 on Sunday with three home runs and five RBIs, including the game-winner in the bottom of the eighth. The Mets won 7-6 and are 72-72 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 14th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with an RBI, a run scored, and a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
Francisco Lindor went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in the Mets' six-run ninth inning. They won 13-6 Sunday and are 69-68 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a home run in Thursday's loss to the Rockies. The homer was his 30th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
Francisco Lindor went 3-for-4 with two runs scored, two singles, one home run, and four RBIs. Lindor hit a two-run shot off Nats closer Kyle Finnegan in the top of the ninth to win it for the Mets. With the win on, Saturday the Mets are 68-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-1 with a home run, two RBI, and three walks in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers. The homer was his 29th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 9th
Francisco Lindor went 1-for-4 with a single and two stolen bases as the Mets won on Saturday. They're five games under .500 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Notes 
 In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lindor's season wasn't particularly impressive, as his surface numbers regressed fairly significantly from his previous three seasons. But, under the hood, not much changed. His walk rate and strikeout rate were largely steady, and his statcast data remained on par with his career marks. He also got much better to close the year, batting .285 with a 122 wRC+ over his final 39 games. Just 27 years old and now with a stronger lineup with the Mets, Lindor should put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 levels, especially since he'll be playing for a new contract after this season. He'll come at a bit of a discount in the second round this year, and he's well worth your investment at that price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
If you were to judge Lindor by his 2020 triple slash line, then you'd think he had a disappointing season. To an extent, that's true! Lindor's .258/.335/.415 performance last summer certainly wasn't what fantasy managers were expecting. However, this looks like a case of someone who would've rebounded over the course of a full season. Lindor posted a career-high 41.1% hard-hit rate as well as a career-best air contact (55.8%), which measures fly balls and line drives. His arrival in New York will keep him in the conversation for the first two rounds of fantasy drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros