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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Francisco Lindor (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
38 of 50 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 13
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 24# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 16
Best Rank# 17# 15
Worst Rank# 18# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs10397
Home Runs3630
RBI10486
Stolen Bases1418
Batting Average.266.271
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 12# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 12# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 14
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 12# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 11# 13
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 11# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 13
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 8# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 21
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 11# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 11# 13
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 11# 15
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 13
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 11# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 13
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 18# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats190236
   
Runs4130
   
Hits5161
   
Singles2740
   
Doubles913
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs138
   
RBI3327
   
Stolen Bases86
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4924
   
Strikeouts4341
   
Batting Average.268.259
   
On Base Pct.420.335
   
Slugging Pct.542.415
   
On-base Plus Slugging.962.750
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats536607
   
Runs10397
   
Hits141163
   
Singles7397
   
Doubles3034
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3630
   
RBI10486
   
Stolen Bases1418
   
Caught Stealing46
   
Walks11158
   
Strikeouts155106
   
Batting Average.266.271
   
On Base Pct.394.335
   
Slugging Pct.527.482
   
On-base Plus Slugging.920.817
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's win over the Braves. The homer was his second of the season and his second in as many days.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 12th
Francisco Lindor went 0-4 with one run scored and one RBI as the Mets won 8-4 over the Phillies.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 7th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his first of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 11th
MLB insider Jon Heyman is reporting that star shortstop Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets have agreed to a contract extension worth approximately $340 million. ESPN's Jeff Passan adds that the deal is for 10 years and $341 million, while Joel Sherman of the New York Post is reporting that the deal includes a partial no-trade clause and about $50 million worth of deferrals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Mar 31st
 Bryce Harper went 0-for-1 with two walks, a hit by pitch, an RBI, and a run scored as the Phillies beat the Mets at home on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Apr 6th
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets are no closer to a contract extension than they have been in recent days, according to MLB insider Jeff Passan. Per Passan, The Mets have an offer on the table of $325 million over 10 years, while Lindor has not budged on his counteroffer of approximately $375 million over 12 years.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Mar 31st
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper says he feels no pain this spring after fighting through a back injury in 2020.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Feb 23rd
Deesha Thosar of the New York Daily News reports that the Mets and SS Francisco Lindor are in a "continued stalemate" in regards to a long-term extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Mar 31st
  Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports that Francisco Lindor is seeking a 12-year, $385 million contract from the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 30th
Notes 
 In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lindor's season wasn't particularly impressive, as his surface numbers regressed fairly significantly from his previous three seasons. But, under the hood, not much changed. His walk rate and strikeout rate were largely steady, and his statcast data remained on par with his career marks. He also got much better to close the year, batting .285 with a 122 wRC+ over his final 39 games. Just 27 years old and now with a stronger lineup with the Mets, Lindor should put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 levels, especially since he'll be playing for a new contract after this season. He'll come at a bit of a discount in the second round this year, and he's well worth your investment at that price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
If you were to judge Lindor by his 2020 triple slash line, then you'd think he had a disappointing season. To an extent, that's true! Lindor's .258/.335/.415 performance last summer certainly wasn't what fantasy managers were expecting. However, this looks like a case of someone who would've rebounded over the course of a full season. Lindor posted a career-high 41.1% hard-hit rate as well as a career-best air contact (55.8%), which measures fly balls and line drives. His arrival in New York will keep him in the conversation for the first two rounds of fantasy drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
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