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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
44 of 45 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 31
Best Rank# 10# 20
Worst Rank# 36# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 40
Best Rank# 18# 34
Worst Rank# 26# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3633
Home Runs149
RBI3930
Stolen Bases53
Batting Average.268.301
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 24# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 34
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 18# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 26
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 36# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 18# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 19# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 30
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 38
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 45
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 20# 54
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 33
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 19# 29
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 18# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 15# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 10# 79
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 23
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 23# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats573569
   
Runs9897
   
Hits149187
   
Singles77110
   
Doubles3636
   
Triples19
   
Home Runs3532
   
RBI11492
   
Stolen Bases1510
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks9953
   
Strikeouts17886
   
Batting Average.260.329
   
On Base Pct.372.389
   
Slugging Pct.510.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.882.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats193210
   
Runs3633
   
Hits5263
   
Singles2638
   
Doubles1113
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs149
   
RBI3930
   
Stolen Bases53
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks3820
   
Strikeouts6133
   
Batting Average.268.301
   
On Base Pct.390.362
   
Slugging Pct.528.513
   
On-base Plus Slugging.918.875
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Bryce Harper (toe) suffered a bruised left big toe after getting hit by a pitch on Tuesday and will return to the field on Friday.
Brad Camara
Tue, Mar 10th
 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper was removed from Tuesday's game against the Minnesota Twins after being hit by a pitch in the right foot.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Mar 10th
 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a double, two runs scored, a walk, an RBI, and two stolen bases in Saturday's win over the Red Sox. The steals were his second and third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Mar 8th
 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run and a walk in Thursday's win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The homer was his third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Mar 5th
 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with two home runs and four RBI in Wednesday's win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The home runs were his first two of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Mar 4th
 
Notes 
 By this point, we all know the answer to the Mike Trout vs. Harper discussion, but that doesn't mean that Harper still isn't one hell of a player. Was he pressing early in Philadelphia with the pressure of a new contract in a new city? I think he was, as his second-half numbers show quite the turnaround, especially with his strikeout rate. His xBA and xwOBA also indicate that Harper underperformed last season. It should surprise no one if Harper were to contend for an MVP this season. He should be bumped up higher in OBP leagues.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Unlike Aaron Judge, who is also going at the end of the second round, Harper has only missed 8 games in the last two seasons. He might not have as much power or the reliable batting average, but there is something to be said for health and the extra 10 steals.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Harper is almost a lock for 30 home runs and double-digit steals. He hasn't been Mike Trout's equal, as many expected after the High School SI cover, but that doesn't mean he isn't an elite Fantasy player. His ADP doesn't reflect how high his floor is or the potential for a 40/20 season. 2020 is a big year for Harper in the Philly Band Box.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Not a big fan of Harper (He is overrated), but he does have some big time potential going into his second year in Philly. If he gets his average up to 280+ he should be a high end five category contributor.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy