Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Manny Machado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
40 of 59 experts
32%
Recommended by
19 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 13
Best Rank# 2# 7
Worst Rank# 25# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 16# 17
Best Rank# 11# 13
Worst Rank# 20# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs9988
Home Runs3532
RBI10195
Stolen Bases1110
Batting Average.269.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 8# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 31
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 12# 25
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 8# 13
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 9
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 21
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 15
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 11
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 7# 12
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 11
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 8# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 15
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 8# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 14
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 160
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 14
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 9# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 14
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 22
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 6# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 20
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 13# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 9
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 7
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 8
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 9
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 13# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 11
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 14
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 21# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 10
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 13
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats550632
   
Runs10384
   
Hits137188
   
Singles69113
   
Doubles3435
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs3437
   
RBI100107
   
Stolen Bases1314
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks13070
   
Strikeouts169104
   
Batting Average.249.298
   
On Base Pct.393.367
   
Slugging Pct.496.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging.889.905
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats516595
   
Runs9988
   
Hits139169
   
Singles73101
   
Doubles2932
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs3532
   
RBI10195
   
Stolen Bases1110
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks11160
   
Strikeouts145104
   
Batting Average.269.284
   
On Base Pct.398.349
   
Slugging Pct.533.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.931.859
   
  Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a walk, a home run, and four RBI in Saturday's win over the Indians. The homer was his 33rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
Manny Machado hit his 30th homer of the year in the Padres' 11-10 loss to the Rockies on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run, a walk, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 32nd of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 19th
Manny Machado went 0-for-5 with a strikeout as the Padres beat the Cubs 9-8 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
 Bryce Harper was ejected from Sunday’s game against the Red Sox.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Padres' 4-1 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 5th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-2 with two walks, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's loss to the Braves. The steal was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Padres' 8-3 loss to the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 31st of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in the Padres' 9-0 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Regardless of what you think about Machado, he has been a reliable force of nature the last few years and likely hasn't even come into his prime yet. The landing spot in San Diego isn't quite what you would think, as it has actually been a top half of the league ballpark for right-handed hitters since they moved their fences in. So don't hesitate to snag him at the end of the first round, as he seems destined for another 35+ homer, 90+ RBI, 90+ run season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Machado has four straight seasons with at least 33 home runs, and has finished as a top-20 hitter in standard 5x5 leagues in three of the last four years (he finished a still solid 42nd in 2017). The move to San Diego isn't ideal for his fantasy value, but Petco Park isn't nearly as much of a problem for hitters as it once was, particularly when it comes to right-handed power hitters like Machado. Padres manager Andy Green also sends runners much more frequently than the Orioles or Dodgers do, which could help Machado's stolen base totals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Along with setting personal highs in each element of his .297/.367/.538 slash line, Machado bashed 37 homers and stole 14 bases, a significant development since he stole none in 2016. He has hit 33 homers in at least 690 plate appearances in each of the last four seasons, so he'd probably be considered a first-round lock if not for remaining unsigned. Now that he established 2017's funk as the clear outlier, Machado is a trustworthy stud eligible for shortstop and third (16 games) in most formats. Signing the Padres doesn't kill his worth, but he's someone to target near the Round ½ turn rather than inside the top 10.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros