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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
46 of 55 experts
16%
Recommended by
9 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 19
Best Rank# 8# 13
Worst Rank# 36# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 14
Best Rank# 17# 13
Worst Rank# 18# 14
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs3626
RBI104
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.266
Strikeouts155232
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.45
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 20
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 24
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 23
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 25
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 19# 21
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 25
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 15
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 15# 19
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 17
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 14# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 19
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 19
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 16# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 14# 65
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 14
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 19# 14
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 19# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 36# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs41
   
Home Runs139
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.268
   
Strikeouts43100
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.73
   
WHIP0.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs3626
   
RBI104
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts155232
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.45
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Bryce Harper (shoulder) is playing right field and batting third on Tuesday against the Marlins.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 18th
RHP Trevor Bauer fired off seven scoreless innings on Saturday, only allowing two hits and striking out 10 in a 7-0 win over Miami.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, May 16th
 Despite initially being labeled as out with inflammation in his shoulder, Bryce Harper has come in to replace OF Scott Kingery in right field.
Ethan Biddle
Sun, May 16th
RHP Trevor Bauer took a loss on Sunday when he allowed two runs on four this with two walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers lost to the Angels 2-1 on Sunday.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, May 10th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper is not in the lineup for Sunday's matchup against Robbie Ray and the Toronto Blue Jays.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, May 16th
RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision when he allowed just one run on four hits with four walks and seven strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 4-3 loss to the Cubs in Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 5th
 Phillies OF Bryce Harper was removed from Saturday‚Äôs game against the Blue Jays.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 15th
RHP Trevor Bauer took the loss on Thursday when he surrendered two runs on four hits with two walks and six strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers lost to the Brewers 2-1.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 30th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-2 with a double, three walks, and a run scored in Friday's win over the Blue Jays.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, May 15th
Trevor Bauer (3-0) earned the win Saturday against the Padres, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and no walks in six innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Apr 25th
Notes 
 In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros