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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
47 of 56 experts
16%
Recommended by
9 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 19
Best Rank# 8# 13
Worst Rank# 36# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 14
Best Rank# 17# 13
Worst Rank# 18# 14
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs3626
RBI104
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.266
Strikeouts155232
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.45
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-RST
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 20
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 24
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 23
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 25
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 19# 21
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 25
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 15
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 15# 19
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 17
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 14# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 30
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 16# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 19
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 19
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 16# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 14# 65
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 14
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 19# 14
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 19# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 36# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs41
   
Home Runs139
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.268
   
Strikeouts43100
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.73
   
WHIP0.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs3626
   
RBI104
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts155232
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.45
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles, a home run, three runs scored, four RBI, and two walks in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 17th
Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave has been extended to September 3.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 27th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 16th
Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave will be extended to August 13.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 5th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with an RBI, a run scored, and a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended through Aug. 6, according to multiple reports. Bauer's hearing last week on an ex-parte temporary restraining order was postponed to Aug 2, 3, and 19. The investigation into him and the alleged sexual assault, both by Pasadena PD and by MLB, remains active, according to The Athletic's Britt Ghiroli.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Jul 27th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a home run in Thursday's loss to the Rockies. The homer was his 30th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended by nearly two weeks to July 27, according to a report from ESPN's Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Jul 14th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-1 with a home run, two RBI, and three walks in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers. The homer was his 29th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 9th
Major League Baseball extended Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave by an additional seven days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 8th
Notes 
 In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros