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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Xander Bogaerts (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
89%
Recommended by
40 of 45 experts
11%
Recommended by
5 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 21
Best Rank# 10# 15
Worst Rank# 36# 50
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 32
Best Rank# 18# 28
Worst Rank# 26# 35
   
Projections 
   
Runs3634
Home Runs1410
RBI3937
Stolen Bases52
Batting Average.268.298
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 24# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 34
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 18# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 19
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 18
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 18# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 19# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 19
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 22
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 20
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 28
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 20# 23
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 23
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 19# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 15# 21
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 10# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 15
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 18# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 22
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 23# 19
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 36# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats573614
   
Runs98110
   
Hits149191
   
Singles77106
   
Doubles3652
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs3533
   
RBI114117
   
Stolen Bases154
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks9976
   
Strikeouts178122
   
Batting Average.260.311
   
On Base Pct.372.385
   
Slugging Pct.510.557
   
On-base Plus Slugging.882.942
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats193210
   
Runs3634
   
Hits5263
   
Singles2636
   
Doubles1116
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1410
   
RBI3937
   
Stolen Bases52
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks3824
   
Strikeouts6143
   
Batting Average.268.298
   
On Base Pct.390.370
   
Slugging Pct.528.515
   
On-base Plus Slugging.918.884
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Bryce Harper (toe) suffered a bruised left big toe after getting hit by a pitch on Tuesday and will return to the field on Friday.
Brad Camara
Tue, Mar 10th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-1 with a run scored and a walk in his Grapefruit League game against the Rays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 12th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper was removed from Tuesday's game against the Minnesota Twins after being hit by a pitch in the right foot.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Mar 10th
Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will start at shortstop and bat third Thursday in the Red Sox's Grapefruit League game against the Astros, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a double, two runs scored, a walk, an RBI, and two stolen bases in Saturday's win over the Red Sox. The steals were his second and third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Mar 8th
Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will make his spring debut Wednesday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Mar 4th
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run and a walk in Thursday's win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The homer was his third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Mar 5th
Manager Ron Roenicke said Sunday that Xander Bogaerts (ankle) is "still a ways away" from playing in games, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Mar 1st
 Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with two home runs and four RBI in Wednesday's win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The home runs were his first two of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Mar 4th
Xander Bogaerts is dealing with a sore ankle and will take it easy for the next few days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 16th
Notes 
 By this point, we all know the answer to the Mike Trout vs. Harper discussion, but that doesn't mean that Harper still isn't one hell of a player. Was he pressing early in Philadelphia with the pressure of a new contract in a new city? I think he was, as his second-half numbers show quite the turnaround, especially with his strikeout rate. His xBA and xwOBA also indicate that Harper underperformed last season. It should surprise no one if Harper were to contend for an MVP this season. He should be bumped up higher in OBP leagues.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Unlike Aaron Judge, who is also going at the end of the second round, Harper has only missed 8 games in the last two seasons. He might not have as much power or the reliable batting average, but there is something to be said for health and the extra 10 steals.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Harper is almost a lock for 30 home runs and double-digit steals. He hasn't been Mike Trout's equal, as many expected after the High School SI cover, but that doesn't mean he isn't an elite Fantasy player. His ADP doesn't reflect how high his floor is or the potential for a 40/20 season. 2020 is a big year for Harper in the Philly Band Box.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
It may be difficult to believe but Bogaerts outperformed even Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner and Gleyber Torres last year thanks to 110+ runs and 100+ RBIs to go with a .311 BA and 33 homers. His ceiling may not be as high as the others, but he is excellent in every non-steals category.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Not a big fan of Harper (He is overrated), but he does have some big time potential going into his second year in Philly. If he gets his average up to 280+ he should be a high end five category contributor.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy