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Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or Craig Kimbrel (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 61# 58
Best Rank# 35# 16
Worst Rank# 108# 183
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 164# 116
Best Rank# 153# 96
Worst Rank# 233# 179
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts79147
Wins39
Saves240
ERA3.653.48
WHIP1.211.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 77
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 67
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 72# 137
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 58# 183
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 55# 70
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 93
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 68
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 96
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 86# 107
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 84
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 59# 70
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 64# 81
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 76
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 98# 166
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 99
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 62# 65
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 47# 62
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 59
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 58# 74
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 58# 62
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 70
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 103# 119
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 16
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 74# 19
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 87# 25
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 65# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 63# 28
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 64# 28
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 76# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 63# 32
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 58# 35
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 69# 36
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 67# 41
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 75# 42
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 63# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 52
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 61# 56
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 80# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 89# 59
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 71# 63
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 65
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 108# 79
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 98# 80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1812
   
Games Started012
   
Innings Pitched15.068.2
   
Wins03
   
Losses14
   
Saves20
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds30
   
Hits Allowed1055
   
Earned Runs922
   
Home Runs Allowed28
   
Strikeouts2882
   
Walks1227
   
ERA5.282.91
   
WHIP1.431.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5622
   
Games Started021
   
Innings Pitched54.1125.4
   
Wins39
   
Losses26
   
Saves240
   
Blown Saves110
   
Holds40
   
Hits Allowed40107
   
Earned Runs2249
   
Home Runs Allowed817
   
Strikeouts79147
   
Walks2634
   
ERA3.653.48
   
WHIP1.211.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
News 
 Craig Kimbrel had a rough ninth inning, allowing a one out double followed by two walks and a sacrifice fly that scored a run. He did chip in two strikeouts though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Carlos Carrasco allowed four runs (one earned) on seven hits, one walk, and four strikeouts in five innings. The 34-year-old was forced to work much harder than he should have been by the Mets' sloppy fielding. They won 9-4 Tuesday and are four games behind the Braves in the NL East and three and a half games behind the Reds and Padres for the final Wild Card spot.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 8th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched the seventh inning on Saturday, allowing one hit while striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Carlos Carrasco allowed three runs on four hits, one walk, and five strikeouts in five and one-third innings. The Mets won 4-3 Tuesday and are winners of four straight. They're 66-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Craig Kimbrel came into the ninth with a seven run lead but ended up giving up three earned runs on two hits and a walk. He would strike out two batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
Carlos Carrasco allowed two runs on three hits, zero walks, and five strikeouts in seven innings pitched. He left the game tied, and the Mets blew the game in the eighth inning, losing 3-2. They're 61-66 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Aug 27th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched one inning, allowing one hit while also striking out one batter to earn his 24th save of the season and first with the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
Carlos Carrasco allowed three runs on five hits, one walk, and six strikeouts in five innings. The Mets lost 3-2 and are now 60-62 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sat, Aug 21st
 Craig Kimbrel didn't allow a ball to leave the infield on Monday, but lost the game after an infield hit, a wild pitch, a sacrifice ground ball, and another wild pitch. He would also walk a batter and strike out two.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 24th
Carlos Carrasco allowed six runs on six hits, one walk, and three strikeouts in two innings.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Aug 16th
Notes 
 As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Carrasco suffered a serious hamstring strain in mid-March which is likely to keep him out 6-8 weeks. It's a devastating blow to the veteran who returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. There was plenty to like about Carrasco in New York, including that the Mets will provide him with a better chance at wins, their infield defense should be above average, and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. But at this point, he's nothing more than a bench starter for your fantasy team given his injury.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
We can completely write off Carrasco's 2019 season as the right-hander was going through a battle with leukemia. The 33-year-old heroically bounced back last summer, posting a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 64 innings. A 9.6% walk rate is mildly concerning, but Carrasco misses enough bats that he should still be viewed as a reliable SP2/3. The perception around him seems to be that he isn't durable, but Carrasco started 30 games three times from 2015-18.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros