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Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or Kyle Hendricks (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
17 of 24 experts
29%
Recommended by
7 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 27
Best Rank# 12# 20
Worst Rank# 57# 44
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 78
Best Rank# 57# 69
Worst Rank# 100# 86
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts194155
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.503.88
WHIP1.181.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 27
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 19# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 28
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 21
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 23# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 35# 44
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 30# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 21
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 33
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 37
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 57# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched68.281.0
   
Wins36
   
Losses45
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5573
   
Earned Runs2226
   
Home Runs Allowed810
   
Strikeouts8264
   
Walks278
   
ERA2.912.88
   
WHIP1.211.00
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched166.2183.6
   
Wins1212
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed146181
   
Earned Runs6579
   
Home Runs Allowed2225
   
Strikeouts194155
   
Walks5037
   
ERA3.503.88
   
WHIP1.181.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
News 
 Mets RHP Carlos Carrasco won’t pitch the first time through the rotation in the Grapefruit League.
Brad Camara
Sat, Feb 27th
 
 Carlos Carrasco was absent from the Mets' first full-squad workout on Monday due to a "non-injury related issue," per manager Luis Rojas.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Feb 22nd
 
 The Indians traded RHP Carlos Carrasco and SS Francisco Lindor to the Mets in exchange for INF Andres Gimenez, RHP Josh Wolfe, OF Isaiah Greene and SS Ahmed Rosario.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jan 7th
 
Notes 
 Carrasco returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. Pretty much everything was back to normal with Carrasco's production other than his walk rate, where he went from several years under 6% to a 9.6% mark in 2020. That's likely just the oddities of a shortened season, however, and now that Carrasco is with the Mets, his stock should only go up. Not only should the Mets provide him with a better chance at wins, but their infield defense should be above average and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. In other words, it's all gravy for Carrasco, and he can be drafted as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 10.8 - 3.35 - 1.20
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
7.5 - 3.40 - 1.10
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 We can completely write off Carrasco's 2019 season as the right-hander was going through a battle with leukemia. The 33-year-old heroically bounced back last summer, posting a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 64 innings. A 9.6% walk rate is mildly concerning, but Carrasco misses enough bats that he should still be viewed as a reliable SP2/3. The perception around him seems to be that he isn't durable, but Carrasco started 30 games three times from 2015-18.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros