Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or Stephen Strasburg (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
97%
Recommended by
57 of 59 experts
3%
Recommended by
2 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 16
Best Rank# 7# 11
Worst Rank# 15# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 36# 59
Best Rank# 33# 51
Worst Rank# 40# 62
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts215187
Wins1512
Saves00
ERA3.313.40
WHIP1.121.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 10# 20
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 16
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 10# 14
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 9# 15
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 27
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 16
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 11# 15
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 8# 25
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 11# 17
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 10# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 13
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 15# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 8# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 25
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 16
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 10# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 9# 20
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 11
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 11# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 18
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 10# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 8# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 19
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 10# 14
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 11# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 15
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 8# 18
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 10# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 18
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 11
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 14# 12
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3222
   
Games Started3022
   
Innings Pitched192.0130.1
   
Wins1710
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173118
   
Earned Runs7254
   
Home Runs Allowed2118
   
Strikeouts231156
   
Walks4338
   
ERA3.383.74
   
WHIP1.131.20
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3028
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched189.4163.6
   
Wins1512
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed168142
   
Earned Runs7062
   
Home Runs Allowed2219
   
Strikeouts215187
   
Walks4447
   
ERA3.313.40
   
WHIP1.121.16
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in a 6-5 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. Carrasco gave up four runs in one inning of relief in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 4th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The win brings him to 17-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco gave up one run in one inning in an 8-2 loss to the Rays on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 1st
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 16-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
 The Indians activated Carlos Carrasco from the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 1st
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed eight shutout innings in Saturday's win over the Marlins, striking out 14 while allowing two hits and no walks. The win brings him to 16-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 1st
 Indians starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco has been diagnosed with leukemia.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 6th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out 10 over six innings in a no-decision against the Cubs on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Aug 26th
 The Indians have placed Carlos Carrasco on the 10-day injured list with a blood condition.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed seven shutout innings in a no-decision against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday, striking out six while allowing four hits and one walk.
Mike Maher
Wed, Aug 21st
Notes 
 Although Cleveland doesn't pay him like it, Carrasco has been a true ace for five straight years, posting a sparkling 3.27 ERA with 193 Ks per season in that time. There is more upside with a pitcher like Syndergaard or Strasburg, but Carrasco's floor makes him one of the top 15 pitchers in this year's fantasy drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 While he is not quite as dominant as the top-tier fantasy aces, Carrasco has been consistently excellent over the last five seasons in Cleveland, churning out a low-3.00s ERA and 1.10-ish WHIP, while striking out well more than a batter per inning. And although he has had health concerns at times, Carrasco has been something of a workhorse of late, tossing at least 192 innings and collecting at least 17 wins each of the last two seasons. Carrasco's terrific year-to-year consistency makes him a prudent choice once the top-six aces are off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 To little fanfare, Carrasco has finally morphed into the ace everyone has chased for years. Dealing with durability problems throughout his career, Cleveland's overlooked stud has posted ERAs of 3.29 and 3.38 in 200 and 192 innings, respectively, over the last two years. Each time he notched a K/9 above 10.0 and BB/9 slightly above 2.00. He ranked inside the top 10 in FIP (2.98), swinging-strike rate (15.2%), and contact rate (69.2%) among qualified starters in 2018, but isn't always getting drafted like a top-10 ace. He's a great affordable anchor to target in the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros