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Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or Zach Plesac (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
15 of 20 experts
25%
Recommended by
5 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 34
Best Rank# 14# 18
Worst Rank# 58# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 69# 78
Best Rank# 58# 62
Worst Rank# 103# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196148
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.574.19
WHIP1.191.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 40
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 14# 92
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 33
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 42
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 35# 51
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 18
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 23# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 58# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played128
   
Games Started128
   
Innings Pitched68.255.1
   
Wins34
   
Losses42
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5538
   
Earned Runs2214
   
Home Runs Allowed88
   
Strikeouts8257
   
Walks276
   
ERA2.912.28
   
WHIP1.210.80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2928
   
Innings Pitched168.4160.8
   
Wins1210
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed150151
   
Earned Runs6775
   
Home Runs Allowed2326
   
Strikeouts196148
   
Walks5145
   
ERA3.574.19
   
WHIP1.191.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
News 
 Mets RHP Carlos Carrasco won’t pitch the first time through the rotation in the Grapefruit League.
Brad Camara
Sat, Feb 27th
 
 Carlos Carrasco was absent from the Mets' first full-squad workout on Monday due to a "non-injury related issue," per manager Luis Rojas.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Feb 22nd
 
 The Indians traded RHP Carlos Carrasco and SS Francisco Lindor to the Mets in exchange for INF Andres Gimenez, RHP Josh Wolfe, OF Isaiah Greene and SS Ahmed Rosario.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jan 7th
 
Notes 
 Carrasco returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. Pretty much everything was back to normal with Carrasco's production other than his walk rate, where he went from several years under 6% to a 9.6% mark in 2020. That's likely just the oddities of a shortened season, however, and now that Carrasco is with the Mets, his stock should only go up. Not only should the Mets provide him with a better chance at wins, but their infield defense should be above average and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. In other words, it's all gravy for Carrasco, and he can be drafted as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 We can completely write off Carrasco's 2019 season as the right-hander was going through a battle with leukemia. The 33-year-old heroically bounced back last summer, posting a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 64 innings. A 9.6% walk rate is mildly concerning, but Carrasco misses enough bats that he should still be viewed as a reliable SP2/3. The perception around him seems to be that he isn't durable, but Carrasco started 30 games three times from 2015-18.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros