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Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Correa or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
44 of 45 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 65
Best Rank# 20# 41
Worst Rank# 79# 116
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 95
Best Rank# 34# 83
Worst Rank# 44# 119
   
Projections 
   
Runs3329
Home Runs911
RBI3035
Stolen Bases31
Batting Average.301.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 73
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 61
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 67
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 54
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 74
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 46# 97
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 58
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 81
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 69
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 83
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 60
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 54
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 58
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 64
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 64
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 73
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 116
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 59
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 65# 112
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 67
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 61
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 65
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 38# 62
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 28# 65
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 45
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 92
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 57
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 41
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 59
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 53
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 55
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 83
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 74
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 63
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 69
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 71
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 51
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 33# 58
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 73
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 60
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 58
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569280
   
Runs9742
   
Hits18778
   
Singles11040
   
Doubles3616
   
Triples91
   
Home Runs3221
   
RBI9259
   
Stolen Bases101
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks5335
   
Strikeouts8675
   
Batting Average.329.279
   
On Base Pct.389.358
   
Slugging Pct.592.568
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981.926
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210184
   
Runs3329
   
Hits6351
   
Singles3828
   
Doubles1310
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI3035
   
Stolen Bases31
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks2023
   
Strikeouts3348
   
Batting Average.301.277
   
On Base Pct.362.357
   
Slugging Pct.513.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.875.864
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
News 
  Carlos Correa went 2-for-3 with a double in the Astros' 2-1 win over the Tigers on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Mar 9th
  Carlos Correa went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts in the Astros' loss to the Cardinals on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Mar 8th
  Carlos Correa went 1-for-3 with a double and a run scored in Tuesday's loss to the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 3rd
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
There's an obvious risk with Carlos Correa, but the risk attached to him isn't performance-based, rather, it's injury based. Correa just can't stay on the field. When he does play - including last season - we've seen what he's can do, and those peak A-Rod comparisons are still there. What's going against Correa is not only his health, but the position he plays is insanely deep, so it's easier to fade him for guys like Corey Seager, Jorge Polanco, Marcus Semien, and Tim Anderson. Do you know what those guys don't have? They don't have No. 1 at the position upside, nor do they possess top-25 overall upside. Correa does, and he's still only 25 and entering his peak years. This is a great spot to grab him, and you can take one of those depth shortstops later on in the draft to pair with him in case he gets hurt again.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
So far, we've only seen Correa play more than 110 games once in his five seasons. Whenever he is on the field, Correa has been a tremendous hitter so the upside is that of a top five fantasy shortstop but his floor is quite low because of the repeat injury risk.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy