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Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Aaron Nola (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
50 of 50 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 31
Best Rank# 3# 15
Worst Rank# 13# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 107
Best Rank# 22# 102
Worst Rank# 25# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts222171
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.563.71
WHIP1.171.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 27
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 7# 15
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 30
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 20
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 25
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 31
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 47
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 7# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 53
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 29
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 26
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 42
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 41
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 26
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 31
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 40
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 34
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played129
   
Games Started129
   
Innings Pitched71.238.2
   
Wins52
   
Losses52
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5443
   
Earned Runs2620
   
Home Runs Allowed94
   
Strikeouts9642
   
Walks2310
   
ERA3.284.74
   
WHIP1.081.39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched190.0154.7
   
Wins1311
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed161138
   
Earned Runs7564
   
Home Runs Allowed2418
   
Strikeouts222171
   
Walks6047
   
ERA3.563.71
   
WHIP1.171.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
News 
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out eight over 6 2/3 innings in Saturday's loss to the Blue Jays. The loss drops him to 3-3 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, May 16th
Charlie Morton started and pitched 4 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits, three runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out four batters. It was a no-decision for him. He threw 94 pitches, 57 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Thu, May 13th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 over six innings in Tuesday's win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The win brings him to 3-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, May 5th
Charlie Morton pitched 2/3 of an inning Friday, allowing four hits, six runs (all unearned), and two walks while striking out one batter. He earned the loss and is now 2-2 on the year. He threw 36 pitches, 22 for strikes. His ERA stands at 4.98.
Steve Painter
Fri, May 7th
 Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four in Saturday's win over the Rockies. The win brings him to 2-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 25th
Charlie Morton pitched 5 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays Saturday, allowing five hits, four runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out six batters. It was a no-decision for him. He threw 98 pitches, 60 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Sun, May 2nd
 Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
Charlie Morton pitched 5 1/3 innings against the Cubs Monday night, allowing four hits, five runs (all earned), and three walks while striking out six batters. He earned his second win of the year, his record is now 2-1. He threw 89 pitches, 53 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Mon, Apr 26th
 Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Yankees Tuesday, allowing three hits, one run (earned), and two walks while striking out six batters. It was a no-decision for him although he did earn a quality start. He threw 99 pitches, 64 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Tue, Apr 20th
Notes 
 Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros