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Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Chris Paddack (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
35 of 50 experts
30%
Recommended by
15 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 34
Best Rank# 15# 17
Worst Rank# 64# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 107# 97
Best Rank# 102# 89
Worst Rank# 122# 116
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts171146
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.713.89
WHIP1.201.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 32# 49
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 30
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 43
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 15# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 64
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 30# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 24# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 34# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 39
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 43
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 33# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 43
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 30# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 52
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 29# 36
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 32# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 29# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 36
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 27# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 26# 62
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 29# 51
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 31# 32
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 31# 67
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 24# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 34# 44
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 32# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 21
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 29
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 38# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 40# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 35
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 40# 39
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 40# 34
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 41# 30
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 35
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 53# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 64# 35
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played912
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched38.259.2
   
Wins24
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4360
   
Earned Runs2031
   
Home Runs Allowed414
   
Strikeouts4258
   
Walks1012
   
ERA4.744.73
   
WHIP1.391.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2926
   
Games Started2926
   
Innings Pitched154.7139.4
   
Wins1110
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed138127
   
Earned Runs6460
   
Home Runs Allowed1822
   
Strikeouts171146
   
Walks4731
   
ERA3.713.89
   
WHIP1.201.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
News 
 Charlie Morton pitched 2/3 of an inning Friday, allowing four hits, six runs (all unearned), and two walks while striking out one batter. He earned the loss and is now 2-2 on the year. He threw 36 pitches, 22 for strikes. His ERA stands at 4.98.
Steve Painter
Fri, May 7th
The Padres placed RHP Chris Paddack on the injured list for undisclosed reasons.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 30th
 Charlie Morton pitched 5 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays Saturday, allowing five hits, four runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out six batters. It was a no-decision for him. He threw 98 pitches, 60 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Sun, May 2nd
Chris Paddack gave up 3 earned runs in 5.1 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. Paddack struck out 5 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 28th
 Charlie Morton pitched 5 1/3 innings against the Cubs Monday night, allowing four hits, five runs (all earned), and three walks while striking out six batters. He earned his second win of the year, his record is now 2-1. He threw 89 pitches, 53 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Mon, Apr 26th
Chris Paddack gave up 1 earned run in 5 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Brewers on Tuesday. Paddack struck out 7 and walked 1 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 21st
 Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Yankees Tuesday, allowing three hits, one run (earned), and two walks while striking out six batters. It was a no-decision for him although he did earn a quality start. He threw 99 pitches, 64 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Tue, Apr 20th
Chris Paddack gave up 1 earned run in 5 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Thursday. Paddack struck out 4 and walked 2 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Fri, Apr 16th
 Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Marlins Wednesday, allowing seven hits, five runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out nine. It was a no-decision for him. He threw 96 pitches, 62 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Wed, Apr 14th
Chris Paddack gave up 3 earned runs in 4 innings of work in the Padres' win over the Rangers on Saturday. Paddack struck out 3 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 11th
Notes 
 Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros