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Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Chris Paddack (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Expert
Recommendation
79%
Recommended by
41 of 52 experts
21%
Recommended by
11 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 15
Best Rank# 7# 10
Worst Rank# 44# 52
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 46# 53
Best Rank# 42# 49
Worst Rank# 58# 57
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7765
Wins54
Saves00
ERA3.413.77
WHIP1.171.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 12# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 44# 52
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 16
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 19# 22
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 13# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 16
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 14# 18
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 17# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 16
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 25
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 20
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 14
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 14# 17
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 10# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 10# 13
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 14# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 10# 20
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 12# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 13# 18
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 14
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 13
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 14
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 21# 13
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 22# 10
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 33# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3326
   
Games Started3326
   
Innings Pitched195.3141.3
   
Wins169
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154107
   
Earned Runs6652
   
Home Runs Allowed1523
   
Strikeouts240153
   
Walks5731
   
ERA3.053.33
   
WHIP1.080.98
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched66.662.2
   
Wins54
   
Losses33
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5655
   
Earned Runs2526
   
Home Runs Allowed79
   
Strikeouts7765
   
Walks2215
   
ERA3.413.77
   
WHIP1.171.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
News 
 Charlie Morton improved to 1-1 on Tuesday against the Red Sox, allowing one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 5th
Chris Paddack improved to 2-0 on Monday against the Dodgers, giving up three runs on five hits over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 4th
 Charlie Morton rebounded from an ugly first start of the year to throw five innings of two-run ball while striking out seven on Wednesday against the Braves.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 30th
Chris Paddack received a no-decision on Wednesday against the Giants, throwing five innings of two-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 30th
 Charlie Morton was hit hard in Friday's loss to the Blue Jays, giving up six runs on seven hits over four innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 24th
Chris Paddack earned the win on Opening Night against Arizona, tossing six scoreless innings while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 25th
 Rays manager Kevin Cash indicated that Charlie Morton will likely be the team's Opening Day starter next Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 18th
The Padres announced Chris Paddack will be the team’s Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 20th
 Rays manager Kevin Cash says Charlie Morton threw five innings in an off-site workout on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 13th
Chris Paddack will make one more intrasquad start as a tune-up for the regular season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 13th
Notes 
 He's no longer Ground Chuck, as the Astros and Rays were able to tap into the electric stuff that Morton has. It's hard to argue with the success that he's had over the past few seasons, but what hurts Morton - and fantasy managers - is that the breakout came late in his career. He's 35, and he said he "fully expects" to hang up his cleats at the end of his current contract. If he's the same pitcher as he has been the past few years, you're getting a steal here. But age and durability concerns have to be on your mind if you draft him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Very good SP that could break out in 2020. 60 games rather than the long, drawn out grind of 162 could help establish him as one of the best in the business on the bump without having to prove he can maintain his Ace stuff over the durability test that is a full 162. I bet he is overdraft in 2021, but in 2020 he could be a #1.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Morton only got better after leaving the Astros, setting career bests in innings pitched, ERA, WHIP, and strikeout percentage. Batters simply don't hit his curveball, which he throws more than a third of the time, and his fastball is nearly equally as effective. In a dynasty or keeper format, things may be different, as Morton speaks of retirement often. For this year, however, there is zero reason for concern.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
The Padres actually managed to have Chris Paddack on an innings limit that didn't totally drive fantasy managers mad. He showed that he could hold up over the course of a full season, and he more than performed to the lofty expectations that were thrust upon him when he made the Padres Opening Day roster. Paddack is working on developing his curveball, and if he's able to throw that with more regularity, he's going to have three plus-pitches. We haven't even begun to see his upside."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Had the best season of his career in 2019. If he comes close to matching it his ADP will make him a big-time value
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Paddack earned his "biggest spring training breakout" award with an outstanding season, albeit one capped with an innings limit. The reins should be taken off a bit this year, which should allow Paddack to remain in a groove and build on his outstanding 2019 numbers. His fastball and changeup are simpy elite, and if he can continue to refine his curveball, he could develop into a true fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Allowed more than two walks just twice in 26 starts, resulting in a 0.98 WHIP for the season
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros