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Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Jesus Luzardo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 33
Best Rank# 15# 20
Worst Rank# 64# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 107# 101
Best Rank# 102# 85
Worst Rank# 122# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts171144
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.713.73
WHIP1.201.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 49
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 32# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 15# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 30# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 24# 46
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 25# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 30# 38
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 29# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 29# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 27# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 29# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 33
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 31# 66
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 24# 28
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 34# 35
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 26# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 31# 23
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 32# 29
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 32# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 33# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 34# 33
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 27
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 32
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 33
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 35
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 38# 24
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 40# 29
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 38
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 38
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 40# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 40# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 41# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 35
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 50# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 53# 24
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 30
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 64# 30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played912
   
Games Started99
   
Innings Pitched38.259.2
   
Wins23
   
Losses22
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4357
   
Earned Runs2025
   
Home Runs Allowed49
   
Strikeouts4259
   
Walks1017
   
ERA4.743.81
   
WHIP1.391.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2926
   
Innings Pitched154.7141.6
   
Wins119
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed138130
   
Earned Runs6459
   
Home Runs Allowed1819
   
Strikeouts171144
   
Walks4741
   
ERA3.713.73
   
WHIP1.201.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
News 
 Charlie Morton pitched five innings against the Giants Saturday, allowing four hits, two runs (both earned), and three walks while striking out three batters. The Braves offense was held scoreless, and Morton got the loss, his record is now 13-6 on the year. He threw 97 pitches, 51 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Marlins Friday, allowing six hits and three runs (all earned) while striking out seven batters. While he didn't get the win, he did earn another quality start. Morton threw 91 pitches, 64 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 11th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Charlie Morton and the Braves agreed to a one year, $20 million contract extension on Monday. The deal also includes a club option for 2023 with $20 million as well.
Chris Schommer
Mon, Sep 6th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
 Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Rockies Sunday, allowing two hits, two runs (both earned), and two walks while striking four batters out. The Braves offense was loud in this one, and Morton's record improved to 13-5 on the year, and he also earned another start. He threw 89 pitches, 60 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 5th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
 Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Dodgers Tuesday, allowing three hits, one run (earned), and two walks while striking out eight batters. Although he earned another quality start, it ended in a no-decision for him. He threw 106 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.52 ERA.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 1st
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on four hits and five walks while striking out four over three innings in Wednesday's loss to the Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Aug 19th
Notes 
 Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros