Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Luis Castillo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 41
Best Rank# 19# 22
Worst Rank# 80# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 128
Best Rank# 97# 114
Worst Rank# 117# 846
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176169
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.413.86
WHIP1.211.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 33# 38
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 44
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 39
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 24# 56
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 56
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 66
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 45
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 44
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 34# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 60
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 48
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 35
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 23# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 46
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 42
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 35
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 38# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 34# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 67
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 78
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 39
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 41
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 28
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 39
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 32# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 35
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 37# 33
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 40# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 40
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 42
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 39
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 46# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 38
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 57# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 58# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 59
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 80# 41
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched167.2170.2
   
Wins1510
   
Losses312
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130158
   
Earned Runs5881
   
Home Runs Allowed1828
   
Strikeouts201165
   
Walks6449
   
ERA3.134.30
   
WHIP1.161.22
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2730
   
Games Started2730
   
Innings Pitched157.3169.9
   
Wins1211
   
Losses710
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132156
   
Earned Runs6073
   
Home Runs Allowed1624
   
Strikeouts176169
   
Walks5852
   
ERA3.413.86
   
WHIP1.211.22
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over six innings in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday. He walked six and struck out seven while improving to 7-1.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Luis Castillo allowed one run on four hits over six innings in the Reds' 2-1 extra innings loss to the Indians on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Luis Castillo allowed (three runs) two earned on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in the Reds' 8-5 loss to the Pirates on Sunday. He walked four and struck out four in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, May 28th
 Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in the Reds' 11-9 loss to the Brewers on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out two in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 23rd
 Charlie Morton struck out 10 and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in the Rays’ 6-2 victory over the Indians on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 26th
Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over 5.1 innings in the Reds' 4-2 win over the Cubs on Thursday. He walked one and struck out six while improving to 5-1.
Elliott Baas
Fri, May 17th
Notes 
 After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros