Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Madison Bumgarner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 38
Best Rank# 19# 18
Worst Rank# 80# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 96
Best Rank# 97# 67
Worst Rank# 117# 108
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176164
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.413.70
WHIP1.211.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 33# 34
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 39
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 24# 35
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 32# 36
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 54
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 48
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 35
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 40# 52
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 34# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 49
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 58
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 34
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 23# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 63
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 48
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 37# 44
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 54
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 40
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 43
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 34# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 31
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 37
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 38# 34
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 37
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 25
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 32
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 36
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 46# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 33
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 57# 41
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 58# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 22
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 18
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 80# 21
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3021
   
Games Started3021
   
Innings Pitched167.2130.1
   
Wins156
   
Losses37
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130118
   
Earned Runs5847
   
Home Runs Allowed1814
   
Strikeouts201109
   
Walks6443
   
ERA3.133.26
   
WHIP1.161.24
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2729
   
Innings Pitched157.3181.9
   
Wins1210
   
Losses711
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132170
   
Earned Runs6075
   
Home Runs Allowed1624
   
Strikeouts176164
   
Walks5851
   
ERA3.413.70
   
WHIP1.211.22
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
News 
 Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Saturday versus Milwaukee, surrendering five runs (three earned) on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-6 on Sunday versus the Dodgers, spinning seven innings of one-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-5 on Wednesday in Miami, giving up two runs on six hits over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
 Charlie Morton struck out 10 and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in the Rays’ 6-2 victory over the Indians on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 26th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Thursday versus Atlanta, allowing two runs on six hits over six solid innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros