Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Masahiro Tanaka (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 35
Best Rank# 19# 20
Worst Rank# 80# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 120
Best Rank# 97# 97
Worst Rank# 117# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176166
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.413.80
WHIP1.211.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 33# 37
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 24# 32
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 32# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 48
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 39
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 40
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 40# 54
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 34# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 60
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 23# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 34# 36
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 37# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 42
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 42
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 42
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 34# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 34
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 37
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 41
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 41
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 46# 45
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 43
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 42
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 55# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 57# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 58# 27
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 20
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 80# 43
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started3027
   
Innings Pitched167.2156.0
   
Wins1512
   
Losses36
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130141
   
Earned Runs5865
   
Home Runs Allowed1825
   
Strikeouts201159
   
Walks6435
   
ERA3.133.75
   
WHIP1.161.13
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2728
   
Games Started2728
   
Innings Pitched157.3165.0
   
Wins1212
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132156
   
Earned Runs6070
   
Home Runs Allowed1624
   
Strikeouts176166
   
Walks5838
   
ERA3.413.80
   
WHIP1.211.17
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Rays manager Kevin Cash announced Charlie Morton will start Wednesday's American League Wild Card game versus the Athletics.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
Masahiro Tanaka went three innings and gave up two runs on five hits and one walk along with two strikeouts as he got hit with the loss Sunday against the Rangers.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 30th
 Charlie Morton gave up just one hit with three walks and nine strikeouts as he pitched six innings combined with four relievers on a one-hit shutout of the Yankees on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 26th
Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win against the Angels on Thursday, giving up one earned run on four hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking none as the Yankees won by a 9-1 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 20th
 Charlie Morton allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings Friday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
Masahiro Tanaka allowed four runs on eight hits with no walks and six strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Charlie Morton earned the win Friday, holding the Angels to three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four across six innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Masahiro Tanaka did not factor into the decision against Boston on Sunday, pitching four innings and giving up four runs on eight hits while striking out two. He did not walk a batter.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 9th
 Charlie Morton struck out 10 while allowing three runs on five hits with two walks across six innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
Masahiro Tanaka took the loss Monday as the Yankees were blanked 7-0 by the Rangers, giving up two runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings while striking out five.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 3rd
Notes 
 After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros