Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Masahiro Tanaka (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
31 of 56 experts
45%
Recommended by
25 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 35
Best Rank# 19# 20
Worst Rank# 80# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 120
Best Rank# 97# 97
Worst Rank# 117# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176166
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.413.80
WHIP1.211.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 33# 37
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 24# 32
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 32# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 48
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 39
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 40
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 40# 54
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 34# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 60
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 23# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 41
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 38# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 34# 36
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 37# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 42
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 42
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 41
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 41
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 46# 45
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 43
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 57# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 58# 27
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 20
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 80# 43
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started3027
   
Innings Pitched167.2156.0
   
Wins1512
   
Losses36
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130141
   
Earned Runs5865
   
Home Runs Allowed1825
   
Strikeouts201159
   
Walks6435
   
ERA3.133.75
   
WHIP1.161.13
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2728
   
Games Started2728
   
Innings Pitched157.3165.0
   
Wins1212
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132156
   
Earned Runs6070
   
Home Runs Allowed1624
   
Strikeouts176166
   
Walks5838
   
ERA3.413.80
   
WHIP1.211.17
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Charlie Morton limited the Athletics to one run on four hits while striking out six batters over 6 1/3 innings Thursday, ending up with a no-decision.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 21st
Masahiro Tanaka didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 7-5 win over the Astros, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings while striking out one.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win Monday in a 3-0 victory over the Rays, giving up two hits and a walk over nine shutout innings while striking out a season-high 10.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
 Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter over 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mets on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Monday’s game between the Mets and Yankees has been postponed due to rain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 10th
 Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Tanaka will return from the paternity list to start Monday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros