Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Robbie Ray (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
38 of 56 experts
32%
Recommended by
18 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 40
Best Rank# 19# 26
Worst Rank# 80# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 116
Best Rank# 97# 110
Worst Rank# 117# 133
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176205
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.413.75
WHIP1.211.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 33# 36
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 24# 29
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 32# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 73
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 50
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 40
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 37
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 40# 41
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 51
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 34# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 40
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 80# 118
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 48
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 46
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 31
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 23# 49
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 81
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 44
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 40
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 38# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 34# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 39
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 49
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 37# 40
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 29
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 46
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 68
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 50
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 37
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 34
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 36
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 38
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 34
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 42
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 34
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 46# 26
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 39
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 57# 35
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 58# 50
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 39
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3024
   
Games Started3024
   
Innings Pitched167.2124.1
   
Wins156
   
Losses32
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed13097
   
Earned Runs5854
   
Home Runs Allowed1819
   
Strikeouts201165
   
Walks6470
   
ERA3.133.93
   
WHIP1.161.35
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2729
   
Innings Pitched157.3160.1
   
Wins1210
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132133
   
Earned Runs6067
   
Home Runs Allowed1621
   
Strikeouts176205
   
Walks5875
   
ERA3.413.75
   
WHIP1.211.30
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
News 
 Charlie Morton limited the Athletics to one run on four hits while striking out six batters over 6 1/3 innings Thursday, ending up with a no-decision.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 21st
Robbie Ray received a no-decision on Thursday versus Colorado, allowing three runs on four hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
 Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros