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Who Should I Draft?

Chris Paddack or Ian Anderson (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 36
Best Rank# 17# 22
Worst Rank# 67# 71
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 97# 89
Best Rank# 89# 75
Worst Rank# 116# 127
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts146153
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA3.893.83
WHIP1.131.28
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 35# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 52
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 47
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 62
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 45
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 34# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 71
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 34# 42
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 39
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 50# 55
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 44
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 35# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 35
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 39# 58
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 45
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 27# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 32# 36
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 34# 36
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 30# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 32# 33
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 44# 53
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 30# 23
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 34# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 36# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 36# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 37# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 39# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 41# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 41# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 32
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 43# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 43# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 43# 35
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 44# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 45
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 51# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 62# 30
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 32
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 67# 54
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played126
   
Games Started126
   
Innings Pitched59.232.2
   
Wins43
   
Losses52
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6021
   
Earned Runs317
   
Home Runs Allowed141
   
Strikeouts5841
   
Walks1214
   
ERA4.731.95
   
WHIP1.221.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2625
   
Games Started2625
   
Innings Pitched139.4137.2
   
Wins1010
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed127117
   
Earned Runs6058
   
Home Runs Allowed2216
   
Strikeouts146153
   
Walks3158
   
ERA3.893.83
   
WHIP1.131.28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
News 
 Padres pitcher Chris Paddack has been placed on the 10-day IL with inflammation in his right elbow. The move is retroactive to Sept. 12, meaning Paddack will be eligible to return on Sept. 22.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Ian Anderson pitched seven innings against the Diamondbacks Wednesday, allowing two hits, one run (earned), and one walk while striking eight batters out. The Braves offense provided good run support, and Anderson's record improved to 8-5, and he also earned a quality start. He threw 97 pitches, 59 for strikes, and carries a 3.60 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Chris Paddack went six innings on Sunday, allowing three earned runs on six hits. He didn't walk any batters but he also didn't record a strikeout.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 6th
Ian Anderson pitched 5 2/3 innings against the Giants Friday, allowing five hits, four runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision. He threw 99 pitches, 60 for strikes, and carries a 3.75 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 18th
 Chris Paddack went 4.2 innings on Monday, allowing one earned run on three hits and no walks. He also struck out five batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 31st
Ian Anderson pitched five innings against the Marlins Friday, allowing five hits, two runs (both earned), and two walks while striking out nine batters. The Braves bullpen held the Marlins scoreless the rest of the way, and Anderson got the win, his record improving to 7-5 on the year. He threw 89 pitches, 62 for strikes, and carries a 3.61 ERA.
Steve Painter
Fri, Sep 10th
 Padres RHP Chris Paddack (oblique) will return from the IL for Monday's start against the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 30th
Ian Anderson pitched three innings against the Rockies Saturday, allowing five hits, four runs (all earned), and four walks. He was not a factor in the decision, a 7-6 Rockies win. He threw 62 pitches, 33 for strikes, and carries a 3.61 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 5th
 San Diego Padres pitcher Chris Paddack (oblique) is expected to throw off a mound soon.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 18th
Ian Anderson pitched 5 2/3 innings against the Giants Sunday, allowing four hits and two walks. The Braves won in a rout, 9-0, and Anderson's record improved to 6-5 on the year. He threw 86 pitches, 49 for strikes, and carries a 3.36 ERA.
Steve Painter
Mon, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Playoffs included, Anderson's final 2020 stat line was 51 innings, 65 strikeouts, a 1.59 ERA, and a 1.10 WHIP. Backed up by a strong prospect pedigree, Anderson was extremely impressive in his first taste of the big leagues. He never got shelled in any start and gave up just one homer all season. His regular season CSW (called strike plus whiff rate) compated similarly to Blake Snell and Walker Buehler at 30.8%. The concerns with his '21 fantasy value are a 4.2 BB/9 and an innings limit. While valid, Anderson is talented enough to still warrant excitement as a top 25-30 SP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  After rising through the minor leagues, Anderson had an excellent debut season with the Braves in 2020, pitching to a 1.95 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with a 29.7% strikeout rate. He was even better in four postseason starts, allowing just two runs over 18 2/3 innings while striking out 24. Anderson led all starters in barrel rate (just 1.2%), and has an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. His control isn't elite, but his raw stuff and prospect pedigree suggest that his 2020 season was no fluke. Draft him with confidence as a No. 2 starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros