Who Should I Draft?

Chris Sale or Aaron Nola (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Sale
SP - BOS
Chris Sale
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 2# 7
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 6# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 11# 25
Best Rank# 7# 23
Worst Rank# 14# 31
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts251210
Wins1614
Saves00
ERA2.673.21
WHIP0.971.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 3# 7
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 9
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 5
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 3# 5
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 5# 6
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 2# 6
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 3# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 6
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 2# 3
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 3# 7
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 1# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 3
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 1# 6
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 2# 7
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 4# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 1# 9
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 2# 6
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 2# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 1# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 2# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 10
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 3# 6
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 8
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 4# 5
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 4
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 1# 13
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 2# 7
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 3# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 3# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 2# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 1# 10
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 4# 8
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 9
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 3# 4
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 2# 9
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 3# 9
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 2# 6
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 2# 10
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 6
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 1# 4
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 9
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 2# 4
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 6
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 6# 4
   
  Chris Sale
SP - BOS
Chris Sale
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2733
   
Games Started2733
   
Innings Pitched158.2212.2
   
Wins1217
   
Losses46
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed102149
   
Earned Runs3756
   
Home Runs Allowed1117
   
Strikeouts237224
   
Walks3458
   
ERA2.112.37
   
WHIP0.860.97
   
  Chris Sale
SP - BOS
Chris Sale
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3032
   
Games Started3032
   
Innings Pitched186.9196.5
   
Wins1614
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed140169
   
Earned Runs5570
   
Home Runs Allowed1920
   
Strikeouts251210
   
Walks4055
   
ERA2.673.21
   
WHIP0.971.14
   
  Chris Sale
SP - BOS
Chris Sale
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
News 
 Chris Sale gave up two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out 10 batters over six innings as the Red Sox beat the Orioles by a 7-2 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed five earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out four over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
 Chris Sale gave up one run (none earned) on three hits and one walk while striking out 10 through seven innings in a no-decision against the Rangers on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
 Chris Sale (2-7) gave up three hits while striking out 12 through nine scoreless innings to take the win over the Royals on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out five over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the San Diego Padres on Monday. The loss was his first of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 4th
 Chris Sale allowed four runs on seven hits with 10 strikeouts and a walk across six innings while taking a loss against the Yankees on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out eight over seven innings in Wednesday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The win brings him to 6-0 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
 Thursday's game between the Yankees and Red Sox was postponed due to rain; it will be made up Aug. 3.
James Bisson
Thu, May 30th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks over 5 1/3 innings in a win over the Chicago Cubs on Thursday. The win brings him to 5-0 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 There are a handful of starting pitchers that stand out above the rest, but Sale and Scherzer may belong in a tier of their own at this point. Sale posted an unfathomable 0.861 WHIP last season and 13.5 K/9. As long as he returns to health, we could be looking at a 340 Ks
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Nola took another major leap forward last year, and while he may never be a 300 or even 250 strikeout guy like the handful of pitchers being drafted above him, 220+ with a sub 1.00 WHIP and 2.50 ERA will certainly warrant a third round pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 If there is one pitcher who can match Max Scherzer in terms of dominance, it's Sale, who is coming off a season in which he produced a 2.11 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and 13.5 K/9 rate. But those numbers came in just 158 innings, as Sale spent some time on the DL due to shoulder inflammation. Durability concerns add a little bit of risk to Sale's profile, but his immense upsides means that he should still be the second pitcher off the board in fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
While Nola's 2018 surface numbers suggest a big breakthrough, the advanced metrics show that he has been largely the same pitcher over the last three seasons, just in more innings. His strikeout and walk rates remained nearly identical, and he generated a similar amount of soft contact, but the difference was that his left-on-base percentage rose and his BABIP allowed dropped in a big way. As a result, his ERA was much lower than his FIP and xFIP, after lagging behind those metrics in 2016 and 2017. Nola's peripherals have consistently indicated that his true skill is that of a pitcher with a low-3.00s ERA and WHIP in the 1.10-1.20 range, so that' should be our baseline expectation for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 If a shoulder injury hadn't limited him to 158 innings, Sale would be competing with Max Scherzer for the top SP slot. He led all starters (with at least 150 IP) in K-BB% (32.9) and FIP (1.98) while posting a 2.11 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. While he'll draw no sympathy from Jacob deGrom, a dozen wins in 27 starts is a bit underwhelming for a superstar pitching for the World Series champions. He had previously topped 200 innings in three straight seasons and is turning 30 around Opening Day, so he's not necessarily a significant injury risk compared to the typical starter. Sale is a stud worth selecting as a staff anchor to end the first or commence the second round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Nola won't sustain a pristine 2.37 ERA, but only nine starters posted a higher FIP than his 3.01. He yielded the second-lowest hard-hit rate (25.1%) behind Zack Wheeler and should keep striking out more than a batter per frame with support from his 12.4% swinging-strike rate. Although 2018 represents his ceiling, the 25-year-old's regression should still represent a lower-level ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros