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Who Should I Draft?

Christian Yelich or Shane Bieber (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
34 of 55 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 12
Best Rank# 5# 4
Worst Rank# 15# 16
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 12# 9
Best Rank# 9# 8
Worst Rank# 13# 10
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs3624
RBI93
Stolen Bases18
Batting Avg.283
Strikeouts154243
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 9# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 10
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 12# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 11
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 9# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 4
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 12# 8
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 12# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 12# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 13# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 13# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 14# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 15# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 15# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs39
   
Home Runs127
   
RBI22
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.205
   
Strikeouts76122
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.63
   
WHIP0.87
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs3624
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases18
   
Batting Avg.283
   
Strikeouts154243
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.05
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Brewers star OF Christian Yelich (back) will go on a rehab assignment at Triple-A Nashville on Friday.
Brad Camara
Thu, May 13th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over 4 2/3 innings of work in a 3-2 loss to Seattle on Sunday. Bieber struck out seven and walked four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 16th
 After returning from the IL on Monday, Christian Yelich is set to spend at least another 10 days on there. Manager Craig Counsell said "there's something else we haven't diagnosed," meaning this could be a longer absence than just the 10 days.
Ethan Biddle
Tue, May 4th
Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber turned in an excellent outing on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 3-2 win over the Cubs. He struck out eight and walked three.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 11th
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 in Monday's loss to the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Tue, May 4th
Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed four runs (three earned) over six innings of work in a 5-4 win over the Royals on Wednesday. He struck out nine and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 6th
 Brewers star OF Christian Yelich (back) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Monday.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 3rd
Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over six innings of work in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Friday. Bieber struck out 11 and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
 Brewers OF Christian Yelich (back) is playing in a simulated game on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. Bieber struck out nine and walked three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros