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Who Should I Draft?

Christian Yelich or Shane Bieber (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 12
Best Rank# 5# 4
Worst Rank# 15# 16
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 12# 9
Best Rank# 9# 8
Worst Rank# 13# 10
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs3624
RBI93
Stolen Bases18
Batting Avg.283
Strikeouts154243
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 9# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 10
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 12
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 10# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 12# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 11
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 9# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 10# 4
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 12# 8
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 12# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 12# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 13# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 13# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 14# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 15# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 15# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs39
   
Home Runs127
   
RBI22
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.205
   
Strikeouts76122
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.63
   
WHIP0.87
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs3624
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases18
   
Batting Avg.283
   
Strikeouts154243
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.05
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-3 with a triple, a walk, a solo home run, and two runs scored Friday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed one run in three innings in a 6-1 win over the Royals on Thursday. Bieber struck out one and scattered four hits.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Oct 1st
 Christian Yelich went 3-for-5 with a double, two RBI, and one run scored Tuesday against the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 8th
Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber threw three scoreless innings in a 1-0 loss to the White Sox on Friday. He struck out three and did not allow a hit.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 25th
 Christian Yelich went 3-for-5 with two home runs, three runs scored, six RBI, and a stolen base in Saturday's win over Washington.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 21st
Shane Bieber will make his return and start on Friday against the White Sox. The reigning AL Cy Young winner has been out since June 13th.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Christian Yelich has returned to the Brewers' lineup on Saturday against the Nationals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 21st
Indians RHP Shane Bieber (shoulder) will begin a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Columbus on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 12th
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI Sunday against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 15th
Indians pitcher Shane Bieber threw a “36-pitch up-and-down bullpen session yesterday,” according to Ryan Lewis of the Akron Beacon Journal.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros