Who Should I Draft?
Christian Yelich or Trea Turner (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Trea Turner SS - WSH  | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL  | |
Expert |
60% Recommended by 6 of 10 experts |
40% Recommended by 4 of 10 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 6 | # 8 |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 5 |
| Worst Rank | # 10 | # 9 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 9 | # 12 |
| Best Rank | # 7 | # 11 |
| Worst Rank | # 9 | # 13 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 103 | 106 |
| Home Runs | 24 | 36 |
| RBI | 79 | 91 |
| Stolen Bases | 32 | 19 |
| Batting Average | .297 | .284 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 8 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 8 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 7 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 6 | # 9 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 6 | # 9 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 5 | # 8 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 6 | # 5 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 10 | # 6 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 8 | # 6 |
| Brendan Tuma BettingPros | # 8 | # 7 |
| Trea Turner SS - WSH | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 233 | 200 |
| Runs | 46 | 39 |
| Hits | 78 | 41 |
| Singles | 47 | 21 |
| Doubles | 15 | 7 |
| Triples | 4 | 1 |
| Home Runs | 12 | 12 |
| RBI | 41 | 22 |
| Stolen Bases | 12 | 4 |
| Caught Stealing | 4 | 2 |
| Walks | 22 | 46 |
| Strikeouts | 36 | 76 |
| Batting Average | .335 | .205 |
| On Base Pct | .394 | .356 |
| Slugging Pct | .588 | .430 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .982 | .786 |
| Trea Turner SS - WSH | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 588 | 544 |
| Runs | 103 | 106 |
| Hits | 174 | 154 |
| Singles | 111 | 85 |
| Doubles | 34 | 29 |
| Triples | 6 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 24 | 36 |
| RBI | 79 | 91 |
| Stolen Bases | 32 | 19 |
| Caught Stealing | 8 | 5 |
| Walks | 53 | 93 |
| Strikeouts | 116 | 158 |
| Batting Average | .297 | .284 |
| On Base Pct | .355 | .389 |
| Slugging Pct | .494 | .538 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .849 | .926 |
| Trea Turner SS - WSH | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
| News | ||
| Trea Turner and the Nationals avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $13 million deal. Brad Camara Fri, Jan 15th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Turner was the best version of himself in 2020, slashing his strikeout rate to below 14% and setting career bests in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, wOBA, and wRC+. Above all, Turner locks down two incredibly scarce categories for fantasy managers, stolen bases and batting average, while offering production in the other three hitting categories. Still just entering his age-28 season, Turner is in the prime of his career, and should continue to put up stellar numbers. He's a top-seven pick in rotisserie leagues. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| 2020 was the culmination of everything we've ever wanted out of Turner. Both the barrel rate and the line-drive rate jumped en route to a .335 batting average. Turner famously went without a stolen base for several weeks before finishing tied for fourth in the majors with 12 for the season. Perhaps 2020 was a two-month hot streak with the bat, but Turner's stolen base upside combined with even 80% of last year's gains make him an essential part of any roto strategy come draft day. Brendan Tuma - BettingPros | Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence. Brendan Tuma - BettingPros | |
