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Who Should I Draft?

Christian Yelich or Trea Turner (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
6 of 10 experts
40%
Recommended by
4 of 10 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 8
Best Rank# 5# 5
Worst Rank# 10# 9
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 12
Best Rank# 7# 11
Worst Rank# 9# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs103106
Home Runs2436
RBI7991
Stolen Bases3219
Batting Average.297.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 6# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 6# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 8# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 8# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats233200
   
Runs4639
   
Hits7841
   
Singles4721
   
Doubles157
   
Triples41
   
Home Runs1212
   
RBI4122
   
Stolen Bases124
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks2246
   
Strikeouts3676
   
Batting Average.335.205
   
On Base Pct.394.356
   
Slugging Pct.588.430
   
On-base Plus Slugging.982.786
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats588544
   
Runs103106
   
Hits174154
   
Singles11185
   
Doubles3429
   
Triples63
   
Home Runs2436
   
RBI7991
   
Stolen Bases3219
   
Caught Stealing85
   
Walks5393
   
Strikeouts116158
   
Batting Average.297.284
   
On Base Pct.355.389
   
Slugging Pct.494.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging.849.926
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
News 
 Trea Turner and the Nationals avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $13 million deal.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Turner was the best version of himself in 2020, slashing his strikeout rate to below 14% and setting career bests in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, wOBA, and wRC+. Above all, Turner locks down two incredibly scarce categories for fantasy managers, stolen bases and batting average, while offering production in the other three hitting categories. Still just entering his age-28 season, Turner is in the prime of his career, and should continue to put up stellar numbers. He's a top-seven pick in rotisserie leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 2020 was the culmination of everything we've ever wanted out of Turner. Both the barrel rate and the line-drive rate jumped en route to a .335 batting average. Turner famously went without a stolen base for several weeks before finishing tied for fourth in the majors with 12 for the season. Perhaps 2020 was a two-month hot streak with the bat, but Turner's stolen base upside combined with even 80% of last year's gains make him an essential part of any roto strategy come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros