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Who Should I Draft?

Christian Yelich or Trevor Story (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
6 of 10 experts
40%
Recommended by
4 of 10 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 8
Best Rank# 3# 5
Worst Rank# 11# 9
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 11# 12
Best Rank# 10# 11
Worst Rank# 12# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs102106
Home Runs3436
RBI8991
Stolen Bases2619
Batting Average.282.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 9
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 6# 7
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats235200
   
Runs4139
   
Hits6841
   
Singles4021
   
Doubles137
   
Triples41
   
Home Runs1112
   
RBI2822
   
Stolen Bases154
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks2446
   
Strikeouts6376
   
Batting Average.289.205
   
On Base Pct.355.356
   
Slugging Pct.519.430
   
On-base Plus Slugging.874.786
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats584544
   
Runs102106
   
Hits165154
   
Singles9185
   
Doubles3629
   
Triples63
   
Home Runs3436
   
RBI8991
   
Stolen Bases2619
   
Caught Stealing75
   
Walks5993
   
Strikeouts171158
   
Batting Average.282.284
   
On Base Pct.347.389
   
Slugging Pct.529.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging.876.926
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
News 
 The Rockies and Trevor Story are currently not discussing an extension. Story will be a free agent at the end of the 2021 season, and some expect the Rockies to sign him to a long-term deal or trade him away.
Corbin Young
Mon, Jan 25th
 
Notes 
 Story had his usual stellar year in 2020, putting up strong overall numbers and offering a rare power and speed combination. As usual, he greatly outperformed his expected statistics, but that's been the norm for Story throughout his career and isn't all that unexpected since he plays in Colorado. Story is entering his walk year, so the chances of a trade, which would diminish his value, remain a possibility. But there are few safer players in the game as of this moment, and he's a locked-in first round pick. The only question surrounding Story is whether he or Trea Turner should be the first shortstop selected in drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros