Who Should I Draft?

Chris Archer or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 43# 51
Best Rank# 13# 16
Worst Rank# 78# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 174
Best Rank# 96# 154
Worst Rank# 128# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts198150
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.773.51
WHIP1.261.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 67
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 35# 69
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 59
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 50
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 40# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 53
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 24# 47
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 25# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 27# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 43
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 13# 16
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 22# 48
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 41# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 53# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 52
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 40# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 80
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 56
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 42# 49
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 39# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 64# 79
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 42
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 43# 94
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 52
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 43# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 71
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 61
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 36# 44
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 34# 52
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 43# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 57# 60
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 54# 90
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 61# 86
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 41
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 47# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 46
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 47
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 54# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 56# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 59# 55
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 46
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 60# 46
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 62# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 63# 54
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 75# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 78# 50
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2725
   
Games Started2724
   
Innings Pitched148.1133.1
   
Wins611
   
Losses85
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155108
   
Earned Runs7154
   
Home Runs Allowed1920
   
Strikeouts162150
   
Walks4941
   
ERA4.313.66
   
WHIP1.381.12
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3124
   
Games Started3124
   
Innings Pitched179.7136.1
   
Wins1110
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169112
   
Earned Runs7553
   
Home Runs Allowed2218
   
Strikeouts198150
   
Walks5845
   
ERA3.773.51
   
WHIP1.261.15
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
News 
 Chris Archer allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-4 win over the Marlins on Sunday. He walked three and struck out eight in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Rich Hill improved to 4-1 on Friday versus the Cubs, spinning seven innings of three-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Chris Archer allowed seven runs on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 7-5 loss to the Braves on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out eight while falling to 3-6.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Rich Hill improved to 3-1 on Saturday in San Francisco, striking out six while allowing two runs in five innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Chris Archer allowed one run on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 6-1 win over the Braves on Thursday. He walked two and struck out six while improving to 3-5.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
Rich Hill improved to 2-1 on Sunday versus the Phillies, striking out nine while tossing seven shutout innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Chris Archer allowed four runs on five hits over seven innings in the Pirates' 9-4 win over the Brewers on Friday. He walked two and struck out seven while improving to 2-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Rich Hill received a no-decision on Tuesday’s loss to the Mets, striking out six while allowing two earned runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 29th
 Chris Archer allowed four runs on six hits over five innings in the Pirates' 11-7 loss to the Dodgers on Sunday. He walked six and struck out three while falling to 1-5.
Elliott Baas
Sun, May 26th
Rich Hill received a no-decision on Wednesday in Tampa Bay, striking out seven while throwing six innings of one-run ball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros