Who Should I Draft?

Chris Archer or Shane Bieber (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
37 of 59 experts
37%
Recommended by
22 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 48
Best Rank# 13# 24
Worst Rank# 78# 226
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 149
Best Rank# 96# 136
Worst Rank# 128# 157
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts198147
Wins1111
Saves00
ERA3.773.84
WHIP1.261.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 53
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 35# 46
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 54# 226
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 60# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 40# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 24# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 25# 54
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 27# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 44
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 13# 113
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 22# 40
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 41# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 78# 103
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 39# 74
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 59# 86
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 63
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 37
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 43# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 53
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 43# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 56# 63
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 36# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 34# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 67
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 43# 57
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 40# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 61# 73
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 31
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 40# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 40
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 35
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 40
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 47# 39
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 53# 49
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 54# 46
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 55# 41
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 57# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 53
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 62# 42
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 63# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 64# 57
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 70# 44
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 75# 49
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2720
   
Games Started2719
   
Innings Pitched148.1115.1
   
Wins611
   
Losses85
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155130
   
Earned Runs7158
   
Home Runs Allowed1913
   
Strikeouts162118
   
Walks4923
   
ERA4.314.55
   
WHIP1.381.33
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3127
   
Games Started3126
   
Innings Pitched179.7154.9
   
Wins1111
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169159
   
Earned Runs7566
   
Home Runs Allowed2218
   
Strikeouts198147
   
Walks5831
   
ERA3.773.84
   
WHIP1.261.23
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Chris Archer (shoulder) has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in an 8-3 loss to the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed five runs (three earned) over 5 2/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 26th
 Chris Archer was placed on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with right shoulder inflammation, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 21st
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 5-2 win over the Phillies on Friday. Bieber allowed two runs over 7 1/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 21st
 Chris Archer exited Tuesday's game after one inning because of right shoulder discomfort.
Andrew Gould
Tue, Aug 20th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in a 7-5 win over the Twins on Sunday. Bieber gave up four runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 15th
 Chris Archer was removed from Tuesday's game versus the Nationals with an apparent injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 20th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 6-2 win over the Angels on Monday. Bieber allowed just one run over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 10th
 Chris Archer allowed four runs (three earned) over five innings as the Pirates fell to the Angels 7-4.
Brandon Plutner
Thu, Aug 15th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros